Article

Political Behavior

, Volume 13, Issue 3, pp 223-235

The influence of levels of information on the use of prospective evaluations

  • Brad LockerbieAffiliated withDepartment of Political Science, University of Georgia

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Abstract

Recent work on voting behavior suggests that both retrospective and prospective evaluations are important components of vote choice. To test the generalizability of the prospective model, (1) the same model of voting behavior is applied to groups of differing cognitive abilities, (2) a comparison of the extent to which each group extrapolates from the past to the future is made, and (3) the frequency with which people of each group respond “don't know” is examined. The evidence presented supports the hypothesis that the prospective model is generalizable across segments of the population. Alternatively, since there are relatively few differences across categories, one might view this paper as a collection of negative findings.