Journal of Mathematical Biology

, Volume 32, Issue 1, pp 79-82

First online:

Inferring extinction in a declining population

  • Andrew R. SolowAffiliated withWoods Hole Oceanographic Institution

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This note describes a test for extinction in a declining population based on a record of sightings. The test assumes that, prior to extinction, the sightings follow a Poisson process with decreasing rate function. An application to a sighting record of the black-footed ferret is presented.

Key words

Sighting data Non-stationary Poisson process Black-footed ferret