Climatic Change

, Volume 33, Issue 1, pp 1–6

The impact of climate change on agriculture

Editorial essay

Authors

  • Susan Helms
    • Triangle Economic Research
  • Robert Mendelsohn
    • Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies
  • Jim Neumann
    • Industrial Economics Inc.
Article

DOI: 10.1007/BF00140510

Cite this article as:
Helms, S., Mendelsohn, R. & Neumann, J. Climatic Change (1996) 33: 1. doi:10.1007/BF00140510

Conclusion

Studies that include moderate climate forecasts, farmer adaptation, carbon fertilization, and warm-loving crops tend to show that climate change will have only mild impacts on average global agricultural output and may even improve temperate agricultural production. On this point, recent studies yield strikingly consistent results. Of course, impact estimates still contain uncertainties. Key questions include how agriculture might change by 2060, how tropical and subtropical farming will be affected, and how effects will be distributed regionally. The most likely threat to agriculture from climate warming is regional damages in relatively poor areas that lack either the knowledge or the financial resources to adjust. Although it is not clear which regions will actually suffer, the ones that are most vulnerable lie predominantly in or near the tropics (IPCC, 1995). Nonetheless, on average, the factors discussed in this essay will help mitigate the impact of climate change on agriculture.

Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 1996