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Typhoon disaster in China: prediction, prevention, and mitigation

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Abstract

Typhoon-induced disaster is one of the most important factors influencing the economic development and more than 250 million in China. In view of the existing state of typhoon disaster prediction, prevention, and mitigation, this paper proposes a new probability model, Multivariate Compound Extreme Value Distribution (MCEVD), to predict typhoon-induced extreme disaster events. This model establishes prevention criteria for coastal areas, offshore structures, and estuarine cities, and provides an appropriate mitigation scheme for disaster risk management and decision-making.

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Acknowledgments

This work is supported by the National Natural Foundation of China (No. 50679076) and the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters P.R. China (No. 20060120).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Ocean University of China, No. 5 Yushan Road, Qingdao, 266003, China

    Defu Liu, Liang Pang & Botao Xie

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  1. Defu Liu
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  2. Liang Pang
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  3. Botao Xie
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Correspondence to Defu Liu.

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Liu, D., Pang, L. & Xie, B. Typhoon disaster in China: prediction, prevention, and mitigation. Nat Hazards 49, 421–436 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-008-9262-2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-008-9262-2

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