Skip to main content
Log in

Point and interval estimation of pollinator importance: a study using pollination data of Silene caroliniana

  • Plant-Animal Interactions - Original Paper
  • Published:
Oecologia Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Pollinator importance, the product of visitation rate and pollinator effectiveness, is a descriptive parameter of the ecology and evolution of plant–pollinator interactions. Naturally, sources of its variation should be investigated, but the SE of pollinator importance has never been properly reported. Here, a Monte Carlo simulation study and a result from mathematical statistics on the variance of the product of two random variables are used to estimate the mean and confidence limits of pollinator importance for three visitor species of the wildflower, Silene caroliniana. Both methods provided similar estimates of mean pollinator importance and its interval if the sample size of the visitation and effectiveness datasets were comparatively large. These approaches allowed us to determine that bumblebee importance was significantly greater than clearwing hawkmoth, which was significantly greater than beefly. The methods could be used to statistically quantify temporal and spatial variation in pollinator importance of particular visitor species. The approaches may be extended for estimating the variance of more than two random variables. However, unless the distribution function of the resulting statistic is known, the simulation approach is preferable for calculating the parameter’s confidence limits.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aigner PA (2001) Optimality modeling and fitness trade-offs: when should plants become pollinator specialists? Oikos 95:177–184

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bloch D, Werdenberg N, Erhardt A (2006) Pollination crisis in butterfly-pollinated wild carnation Dianthus carthusianorum? New Phytol 169:699–706

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Brown D, Alexander NDE, Marrs RW, Albon S (1993) Structured accounting of the variance of demographic change. J Anim Ecol 62:490–502

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brown E, Kephart S (1999) Variability in pollen load: implications for reproductive and seedling vigor in a rare plant, Silene douglasii var. oraria. Int J Plant Sci 160:1145–1152

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Chernick MR (1999) Bootstrap methods: s practitioner’s guide. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Clark JS (2003) Uncertainty and variability in demography and population growth: a hierarchical approach. Ecology 84:1370–1381

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clark JS (2005) Why environmental scientists are becoming Bayesians. Ecol Lett 8:2–14

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Congdon P (2003) Applied Bayesian modeling. Wiley, West Sussex

    Google Scholar 

  • Cornwell LW, Aroian LA, Taneja VS (1978) Numerical evaluation of the distribution of the product of two normal variables. J Stat Comput Sim 7:85–92

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Craig CC (1936) On the frequency function of xy. Ann Math Stat 7:1–15

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Devore JL (2000) Probability and statistics for engineering and the sciences, 5th edn. Duxbury, Australia

    Google Scholar 

  • Faegri K, van der Pijl L (1979) The principles of pollination ecology. Pergamon, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Fenster CB (1991) Gene flow in Chamaechrista fasciculata (Leguminosae). I. Gene dispersal. Evolution 45:398–409

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fenster CB, Dudash MR (2001) Spatiotemporal variation in the role of hummingbirds as pollinators of Silene virginica. Ecology 82:844–851

    Google Scholar 

  • Fenster CB, Armbruster WS, Wilson P, Dudash MR, Thompson JD (2004) Pollination syndromes and floral specialization. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 35:375–403

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fishbein M, Venable DL (1996) Diversity and temporal change in the effective pollinators of Asclepias tuberosa. Ecology 77:1061–1073

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goodman L (1960) On the exact variance of products. J Am Stat Assoc 55:708–713

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goodman L (1962) On the variance of product of k random variables. J Am Stat Assoc 57:54–60

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haldane JBS (1942) Moments of the distribution of powers and products of normal variates. Biometrika 33:226–242

    Google Scholar 

  • Herrera CM (2000) Flower to seedling consequences of different pollination regimes in an insect-pollinated shrub. Ecology 81:15–29

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hestbeck JR, Nichols JD, Malecki RA (1991) Estimates of movement and site fidelity using mark-resight data of wintering Canada geese. Ecology 72:523–533

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hogg RV, Craig AT (1995) Introduction to mathematical statistics, 5th edn. Prentice Hall, New Jersey

    Google Scholar 

  • Harder LD (1990) Pollen removal by bumble bees and its implications for pollen dispersal. Ecology 71:1110–1125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Horvitz CA, Schemske DW (1990) Spatiotemporal variation in insect mutualists of a neotropical herb. Ecology 71:1085–1097

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivey CT, Martinez P, Wyatt R (2003) Variation in pollinator effectiveness in swamp milkweed, Asclepias incarnata (Apocynacaceae). Am J Bot 90:214:225

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Johnson SD, Steiner KE (2000) Generalization versus specialization in plant pollination systems. Trends Ecol Evol 15:140–143

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Kandori I (2002) Diverse visitors with various pollinator importance and temporal change in the important pollinators of Geranium thunbergii (Geraniaceae). Ecol Res 17:283–294

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kearns CA, Inouye DW (1993) Techniques for pollination biologists. University Press of Colorado, Niwot

    Google Scholar 

  • Larsson M (2005) Higher pollinator effectiveness by specialist than generalist flower-visitors of unspecialized Knautia arvensis (Dipsacaceae). Oecologia 146:394–403

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Lynch M, Walsh B (1998) The genetics and analysis of quantitative traits. Sinauer, Sunderland

    Google Scholar 

  • Meeker WQ, Cornwell LW, Aroian LA (1981) Selected tables in mathematical statistics, vol VII. The product of two normally distributed random variables. American Mathematical Society, Providence

  • Mitchell RJ (1997) Effects of pollination intensity on Lesquerella fendleri seed set: variation among plants. Oecologia 109:382–388

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olesen JM, Jordano P (2002) Geographic patterns in plant–pollinator mutualistic networks. Ecology 83:2416–2424

    Google Scholar 

  • Ollerton J (1996) Reconciling ecological processes with phylogenetic patterns: the apparent paradox of plant-pollinator systems. J Ecol 84:767–769

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Primack RB, Silander JA (1975) Measuring the relative importance of different pollinators to plants. Nature 255:143–144

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Robertson C (1928) Flowers and insects. Lists of visitors of four hundred and fifty-three flowers. Robertson, Carlinville

    Google Scholar 

  • Sahli HF, Conner JK (2007) Visitation, effectiveness, and efficiency of 15 genera of visitors to wild radish, Raphanus raphanistrum. Am J Botany 94:203–209

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • SAS Institute (2004) SAS for Windows, version 9.1. SAS Institute, Cary

    Google Scholar 

  • Schemske DW, Horvitz CC (1984) Variation among floral visitors in pollination ability: a precondition for mutualism specialization. Science 255:519–521

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Silander JA, Primack RB (1978) Pollination intensity and seed set in the evening primrose. Am Midl Nat 100:213–216

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stebbins GL (1970) Adaptive radiation of reproductive characteristics in angiosperms. I. Pollination mechanisms. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 1:307–326

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomson J (2003) When is it mutualism? Am Nat 162:S1–S9

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Waser NM, Chittka L, Price MV, Williams NM, Ollerton J (1996) Generalization in pollination systems, and why it matters. Ecology 77:1043–1060

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Waser NM, Ollerton J (2006) Plant-pollinator interactions. From specialization to generalization. University of Chicago Press, Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  • Wiggam S, Ferguson CJ (2005) Pollinator importance and temporal variation in a population of Phlox divaricata L. (Polemoniaceae). Am Midl Nat 154:42–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We thank A. Royer, S. Marten-Rodriguez, and K. Barry for field assistance, W. Fagan and B. Momen for discussions of the methodology, M. Larsson for discussion of the SE of importance. We thank M. Dudash, J. Hereford, M. Rutter, A. Kula, J. Silander (AE), and two anonymous reviewers for comments on the manuscript. We also thank the National Park Service and Chesapeake & Ohio Canal National Park personnel for permitting us access to field study sites. This research was sponsored by the Washington Biologists Field Club, The Nature Conservancy’s Biodiversity Conservation Research Fund, and NSF DEB-0108285 to C. Fenster and M. Dudash.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Richard J. Reynolds.

Additional information

Communicated by John Silander.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Reynolds, R.J., Fenster, C.B. Point and interval estimation of pollinator importance: a study using pollination data of Silene caroliniana . Oecologia 156, 325–332 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-008-0982-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-008-0982-5

Keywords

Navigation