Skip to main content
Log in

Changes of extreme events in regional climate simulations over East Asia

  • Published:
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Changes of extreme events due to greenhouse effects (2 × CO2) over East Asia, with a focus on the China region as simulated by a regional climate model (RegCM2), are investigated. The model is nested to a global coupled ocean-atmosphere model (CSIRO R21L9 AOGCM). Analysis of the control run of the regional model indicates that it can reproduce well the extreme events in China. Statistically significant changes of the events are analyzed. Results show that both daily maximum and daily minimum temperature increase in 2 × CO2 conditions, while the diurnal temperature range decreases. The number of hot spell days increases while the number of cold spell days decreases. The number of rainy days and heavy rain days increases over some sub-regions of China. The 2 × CO2 conditions also cause some changes in the tropical storms affecting China.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Dickinson, R. E., A. Henderson-Sellers, and P. J. Kennedy, 1993: Biosphere atmosphere transfer scheme (BATS) version le as coupled to the NCAR Community Climate Model, NCAR Tech. Note, NCAR / TN387+STR.

  • Durman, F., J. M. Gregory, D. H. Hassell, R. G. Jones, 2001: The comparison of extreme European daily precipitation simulated by a global and a regional climate model for present and future climates. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127(573), 1005–1016.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frei, Schar, D. Luthi, and H. Davies, 1998: Heavy precipitation processess in a warmer climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 1431–1434.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gao, X. J., Z. -C. Zhao, Y. Ding, R. Huang, and F. Giorgi, 2001: Climate change due to greenhouse effects in China as simulated by a regional climate model. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 18(6), 1224–1230.

    Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F. M. R. Marinucci, and G. T. Bates, 1993a: Development of a second-generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part I: Boundary-layer and radiative transfer processes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2794–2813.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F. M. R. Marinucci, G.T. Bates, and G. DeCanio, 1993b: Development of a second-generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part II: Convective processes and assimilation of lateral boundary conditions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2814–2832.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F., S. Brodeur, and G. Bates, 1994: Regional climate change scenarios over the United States produced with a nested regional climate model. J. Climate, 7, 375–399.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F., and Marinucci M. R., 1996: An investigation of the sensitivity of simulated precipitation to model resolution and its implications for climate studies. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 148–166.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F., L. Mearns, S. Shields, and L. McDaniel, 1998: Regional nested model simulations of present day and 2 × CO2 climate over the Central Great Plains of the United Slates. Climatic Change, 40, 457–493.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F., and C. Shields, 1999: Tests of precipitation parameterizations available in the latest version of the near regional climate model (RegCM) over the continental U.S. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 6353–6376.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F., and coauthors, 2001: Regional Climate Information-Evaluation and Projections. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Contribution of WGI to the Third Assessment Report of IPCC, J. T. Houghton., Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 583–638.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gordon, H. and S. P. O′Farrell, 1997: Transient climate change in the CSIRO coupled model with dynamic sea ice. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 875–907.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grell, G. A., 1993: Prognostic evaluation of assumptions used by cumulus parameterizations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 764–787.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hennessy, K. J., J. M. Greory, and J. F. B. Mitchell, 1997: Changes in daily precipitation under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Clim. Dyn., 13, 667–680.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirakuchi, H., and F. Giorgi, 1995: Multi-year present-day and 2 × CO2 simulations of monsoon-dominated climate over eastern Asia and Japan with a regional climate model nested in a general circulation model. J. Geophys. Res. 100, 21,105-21,126.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holtslag, A. A. M., E. I. F. Debruijin, H. L. Pan, 1990: A high resolution air mass transformation model for short-range weather forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 1561–1575.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC, Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Summary for Policymakers and Technical Summary of WGI Third Assessment Report, eds. by J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, et al., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 72pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kiehl, J. T., J.J. Hack, G.B. Bonan, B.A. Bovlle, B.P. Briegleb, D.L. Williamson and P.J. Rasch (1996): Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM3). NCAR / TN-420+STR.

  • Mearns, L. Q., Bogardi, I., Giorgi, F., Matayasovszky, I., Palecki, M., 1999: Comparison of climate change scenarios generated daily temperature and precipitation from regional climate model experiments and statistical downscaling. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 6603–6621.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mearns, L. O., and coauthors, 2001: Climate Scenario Development. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Contribution of WGI to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC, J. T. Houghton et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 739–768.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schar, Frei, D. Luthi, and H. Davies, 1996: Surrogate climate change scenarios for regional climate models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 669–672.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Xuejie, G., Zongci, Z. & Giorgi, F. Changes of extreme events in regional climate simulations over East Asia. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 19, 927–942 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-002-0056-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-002-0056-2

Key words

Navigation