Abstract
Deception Island (62°57′S, 60°38′W) is one of the most frequently visited locations in Antarctica, prompting speculation that tourism may have a negative impact on the island’s breeding chinstrap penguins (Pygoscelis antarctica). Discussions regarding appropriate management of Deception Island and its largest penguin colony at Baily Head have thus far operated in the absence of concrete information regarding the current size of the penguin population at Deception Island or long-term changes in abundance. In the first ever field census of individual penguin nests at Deception Island (December 2–14, 2011), we find 79,849 breeding pairs of chinstrap penguins, including 50,408 breeding pairs at Baily Head and 19,177 breeding pairs at Vapour Col. Our field census, combined with a simulation designed to capture uncertainty in an earlier population estimate by Shuford and Spear (Br Antarct Surv Bull 81:19–30, 1988), suggests a significant (>50 %) decline in the abundance of chinstraps breeding at Baily Head since 1986/1987. A comparative analysis of high-resolution satellite imagery for the 2002/2003 and the 2009/2010 seasons suggests a 39 % (95th percentile CI = 6–71 %) decline (from 85,473 ± 23,352 to 52,372 ± 14,309 breeding pairs) over that 7-year period and provides independent confirmation of population decline in the abundance of breeding chinstrap penguins at Baily Head. The decline in chinstrap penguins at Baily Head is consistent with declines in this species throughout the region, including sites that receive little or no tourism; as a consequence of regional environmental changes that currently represent the dominant influence on penguin dynamics, we cannot ascribe any direct link between chinstrap declines and tourism from this study.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Ainley DG (2002) The Adélie penguin: bellwether of climate change. Columbia University Press, New York
Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties (2005) Resolution on site guidelines for visitors. ATCM XXVIII Final Report, Resolution 5
Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties (2008) Site guidelines for visitors. ATCM XXXI Final Report, Resolution 2
Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties (2009) Site guidelines for visitors. ATCM XXXII Final Report, Resolution 4
Argentina, Chile, Norway, Spain, UK, and USA (2011) Deception Island Specially Managed Area (ASMA) management group report. Information Paper 131, ATCM XXXIV
Barbosa A, Banzal J, De León A, Moreno J (2012) Population decline of chinstrap penguins (Pygoscelis antarctica) on Deception Island, South Shetlands, Antarctica. Polar Biol 35(9):1453–1457
Carrascal LM, Moreno J, Amat JA (1995) Nest maintenance and stone theft in the chinstrap penguin. Polar Biol 15:541–545
Clarke A, Murphy EJ, Meredith MP, King JC, Peck LS, Barnes DKA, Smith RC (2007) Climate change and the marine ecosystem of the western Antarctic Peninsula. Philos Trans R Soc B 362:149–166
Croxall JP, Kirkwood ED (1979) The distribution of penguins on the Antarctic Peninsula and islands of the Scotia Sea. British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge
Culik BM, Wilson RP (1995) Penguins disturbed by tourists. Nature 376:301–302
Downie R, Smellie J (2001) A management strategy for Deception Island. Unpublished report
Forcada J, Trathan PN (2009) Penguin responses to climate change in the Southern Ocean. Glob Chang Biol 15:1618–1630
Forcada J, Trathan PN, Reid K, Murphy EJ, Croxall JP (2006) Contrasting population changes in sympatric penguin species in association with climate warming. Glob Chang Biol 12:411–423
Holmes ND (2007) Comparing king, gentoo, and royal penguin responses to pedestrian visitation. J Wildl Manag 71:2575–2582
Holmes ND, Giese M, Achurch H, Robinson S, Kriwoken LK (2006) Behavior and breeding success of gentoo penguins Pygoscelis papua in areas of low and high human activity. Polar Biol 29:399–412
IAATO (International Association of Antarctica Tour Operators) Statistics (2011) Antarctica 2010–2011 number of tourists per site/per vessel (Peninsula Sites Only). IAATO website (www.iaato.org)
Lynch HJ, Naveen R, Fagan WF (2008) Censuses of penguins, blue-eyed shags, and southern giant petrel populations in the Antarctic Peninsula, 2001–2007. Mar Ornithol 36:83–97
Lynch HJ, Fagan WF, Naveen R, Trivelpiece SG, Trivelpiece WZ (2009) Timing of clutch initiation in Pygoscelis penguins on the Antarctic Peninsula: towards an improved understanding of off-peak census correction factors. CCAMLR Sci 16:149–165
Lynch HJ, Crosbie K, Fagan WF, Naveen R (2010a) Spatial patterns of tour ship traffic in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Antarct Sci 22:123–130
Lynch HJ, Fagan WF, Naveen RN (2010b) Population trends and reproductive success at a frequently visited penguin colony on the Western Antarctic Peninsula. Polar Biol 33:493–503
Lynch HJ, Fagan WF, Naveen R, Trivelpiece SG, Trivelpiece WZ (2012a) Differential advancement of breeding phenology in response to climate may alter staggered breeding among sympatric pygoscelid penguins. Mar Ecol-Prog Ser 454:135–145
Lynch HJ, Naveen R, Trathan PN, Fagan WF (2012b) Spatially integrated assessment reveals widespread changes in penguin populations on the Antarctic Peninsula. Ecology 93(6):1367–1377
Lynch HJ, Ratcliffe N, Passmore J, Foster E, Trathan PN (2012c) Sensitivity analysis identifies high influence sites for estimates of penguin krill consumption on the Antarctic Peninsula. Antarct Sci. doi:10.1017/S0954102012000600
Lynch HJ, White R, Black AD, Naveen R (2012d) Detection, differentiation, and abundance estimation of penguin species by high-resolution satellite imagery. Polar Biol 35:963–968
Naveen R, Lynch HJ (2011) Compendium of Antarctica Peninsula visitor sites, 3rd edn. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC
Naveen R, Forrest SC, Dagit RG, Blight LK, Trivelpiece WZ, Trivelpiece SG (2000) Censuses of penguin, blue-eyed shag, and southern giant petrel populations in the Antarctic Peninsula region, 1994–2000. Polar Record 36:323–334
Nimon AJ, Schroter RC, Stonehouse B (1995) Heart rate of disturbed penguins. Nature 374:415
Penney RL (1968) Territorial and social behavior in the Adélie penguin. In: Austin OL (ed) Antarctic bird studies. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp 83–131
Scientific Committee for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (revised) (2004) Commission for the conservation of Antarctic living marine resources ecosystem monitoring program (CEMP) Standard Methods for Monitoring Studies, Hobart, Australia
Shuford WD, Spear LB (1988) Surveys of breeding chinstrap penguins in the South Shetland Islands, Antarctica. Br Antarct Surv Bull 81:19–30
Spain (2010) Possible human impact on Deception Island. Information Paper 20, ATCM XXXIII
Stonehouse B (1975) The biology of penguins. University Park Press, Baltimore
Taylor JR (1982) An introduction to error analysis. University Science Books, Sausalito
Trathan PN, Ratcliffe N, Masden EA (2012) Ecological drivers of change at South Georgia: the krill surplus, or climate variability. Ecography 35:001–011
Trivelpiece WZ, Hinke JT, Miller AK, Reiss CS, Trivelpiece SG, Watters GM (2011) Variability in krill biomass links harvesting and climate warming to penguin population changes in Antarctica. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 108:7625–7628
Van Cise AM (Editor) (2011) AMLR 2009/2010 field season report. Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Antarctic Ecosystem Research Division
Walker BG, Boersma PD, Wingfield JC (2006) Habituation of adult magellanic penguins to human visitation as expressed through behavior and corticosterone secretion. Conserv Biol 20:146–154
Williams TD (1995) The penguins: Spheniscidae. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Woehler EJ (1993) The distribution and abundance of Antarctic and subantarctic penguins. Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research, Cambridge
Acknowledgments
We gratefully acknowledge the support of The Tinker Foundation and the U.S. National Science Foundation Office of Polar Programs (Award Nos. NSF/OPP-0739515 and NSF/OPP-0739430), and the assistance of the Polar Geospatial Center (NSF Award No. ANT 1043681). We are grateful to the captain and mate of the yacht Pelagic, Christopher Harris and Magnus Day, for ensuring the safety and well-being of the Antarctic Site Inventory research team during their work period at Deception Island and would like to acknowledge the support and assistance of Peter Getzels, Harriet Getzels, Eric Osterholm, and Getzels Gordon Productions during the 2011–2012 Antarctic Site Inventory field season.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Ron Naveen and Heather J. Lynch—Joint first authors.
Appendix: Flying birds at Deception Island
Appendix: Flying birds at Deception Island
Our finding on the detection (presence) or non-detection (presumed absence) of flying birds are consistent with results described in Downie and Smellie (2001), with these additional observations:
-
1.
Skuas (Catharacta spp.): An individual south polar skua was observed flying near Collins Point on December 8, 2011, but breeding was not observed. The melt pond south of the remains of the Hektor whaling station, which was observed on December 3, 7, 9, and 14, 2011, at all times hosted an assemblage of brown Skuas as well as apparent, hybrid Catharacta skuas.
-
2.
Blue-eyed shag (Phalacrocorax atriceps): Since 2004, the Antarctic Site Inventory has recorded and observed nesting blue-eyed shags breeding on cliffs at the southern end of Whalers Bay. The number of nesting blue-eyed shags varies between 8 and 18.
-
3.
Antarctic tern (Sterna vittata): Antarctic terns were frequently observed in the vicinity of our yacht anchorage in Stancombe Cove, and nesting in this vicinity is suspected.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Naveen, R., Lynch, H.J., Forrest, S. et al. First direct, site-wide penguin survey at Deception Island, Antarctica, suggests significant declines in breeding chinstrap penguins. Polar Biol 35, 1879–1888 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-012-1230-3
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-012-1230-3