Abstract
As simulation is increasingly used in product development, there is a need to better characterise the errors inherent in simulation techniques by comparing such techniques with evidence from experiment, test and in-service. This is necessary to allow judgement of the adequacy of simulations in place of physical tests and to identify situations where further data collection and experimentation need to be expended. This paper discusses a framework for uncertainty characterisation based on the management of design knowledge leading to the development and characterisation of error functions. A classification is devised in the framework to identify the most appropriate method for the representation of error, including probability theory, interval analysis and Fuzzy set theory. The development is demonstrated with two case studies to justify rationale of the framework. Such formal knowledge management of design simulation processes can facilitate utilisation of cumulated design knowledge as companies migrate from testing to simulation-based design.
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Notes
The support is a real set of all values of a Fuzzy set where the membership is greater than zero.
Abbreviations
- CAE:
-
Computer-aided engineering
- CFD:
-
Computational fluids dynamics
- IPD:
-
Integrated product development
- FEA:
-
Finite element analysis
- FS:
-
Factor of safety
- PDF:
-
Probability distribution function
- POF:
-
Probability of failure
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Acknowledgments
This paper reports research conducted by Dr. Goh while a postgraduate student at the University of Bristol, supported by a Postgraduate Scholarship from that University and by the UK Overseas Research Students Award Scheme (ORSAS). This support is gratefully acknowledged, as is assistance from Dr. J. Devlukia and Mr. A. D’Cruz of Land Rover with one of the case studies reported here.
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Appendix A: Literature cases
Appendix A: Literature cases
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Goh, Y.M., McMahon, C.A. & Booker, J.D. Development and characterisation of error functions in design. Res Eng Design 18, 129–148 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00163-007-0034-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00163-007-0034-x