Abstract
Previous work testing the criminal opportunity/routine activities theory of burglary has been marked by three recurrent problems: (1) a neglect of testing the theory in rural areas (2) the use of indicators which confound opportunity with disorganization effects (3) failure to control for alternative theories of burglary. The present paper contributes to the literature by correcting these shortcomings. The results of a multiple regression analysis of county level data from Michigan indicate that the greater the criminal opportunity, the greater the rate of burglary. These results are independent of indicators taken from economic strain and social disorganization theories. The model explains 69% of the variance in burglary rates overall and 84% of the variance in rural counties. While there may be higher levels of social cohesion and lower anonymity in rural areas, these factors are not sufficient to offset the influence of criminal opportunity.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Belsley, D.A., Kuh, E., & Welsch, R.E. (1980).Regression diagnostics. New York: Wiley.
Bennett, T., & Wright, R. (1984).Burglars on burglary. Aldershot: Grover.
Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., & Rosenfeld, R. (1991). Trend and deviation in crime rates: A comparison of UCR and NCS data for burglary and robbery.Criminology, 29, 237–264.
Bursik, R.J. (1988). Social disorganization and theories of crime and delinquency.Criminology, 26, 519–551.
Carroll, L., & Jackson, P.I. (1983). Inequality, opportunity, and crime rates in central cities.Criminology, 21, 178–194.
Cohen, L., & Felson, M. (1979). Social change and crime rate trends: A routine activity approach.American Sociological Review, 44, 588–608.
Cohen, L., Felson, M., & Land, K. (1980). Property crime rates in the US: A macrodynamic analysis, 1947–1977.American Journal of Sociology, 86, 90–118.
Cohen, L., & Cantor, D. (1981). Residential burglary in the US: Lifestyle and demographic factors associated with the problem of victimization.Journal of Research on Crime and Delinquency, 17, 113–127.
Cohen, L., Kluegel, J. R., & Land, K. (1981). Social inequality and predatory victimization.American Sociological Review, 46, 504–524.
Cromwell, P.F., Olson, J.N., & Avary, D.W. (1991).Breaking and entering: An ethnographic analysis of burglary. Newburry Park, CA: Sage.
Decker, S., Wright, R., & Logie, R. (1993). Perceptual deterrence among active residential burglars.Criminology, 31, 135–147.
Decker, S., Wright, R., Redfern, A., & Smith, D. (1993). A woman’s place is in the home: Females and residential burglary.Justice Quarterly, 10, 143–162.
Ensminger, M.E., Kellam, S.G., & Rubin, B. (1983). School and family origins of delinquency. In K.T. Van Dusen & S.A. Mednick (Eds.),Antecedents of aggression and antisocial behavior (pp. 99–128). Boston: Kluwer-Nijhoff.
Fischer, C. (1982).To dwell among friends: Personal networks in town and city. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Hindelang, M., Gottfredson, M., & Garofalo, J. (1978).Victims of personal crime. Cambridge, MA: Ballinger.
Holzman, H.R. (1983). The serious habitual property offender as moonlighter.Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, 73, 174–192.
Hope, T. (1984). Building design and burglary. In R. Clarke & T. Hope (Eds.),Coping with burglary (pp. 45–59). Boston: Kluwer Nijhoff.
Hough, M. (1987). Offenders’ choice of target: Findings from victim surveys.Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 3, 355–369.
Hough, M., & Mayhew, P. (1985).Taking account of crime: Key findings from the 1984 british crime survey. Home Office Research Study no. 85. London: H.M. Stationary Office.
Jackson, P. (1984). Opportunity and crime: A function of city size.Sociology and Social Research, 68, 172–193.
Kornhauser, R. (1978).Social sources of delinquency. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Kowalski, G.S., Faupel, C., & Starr, P.D. (1987). Urbanism and suicide: A study of American counties.Social Forces, 66, 85–101.
Lewis-Beck, M. (1980).Applied regression analysis. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
Loeber, R., & Stouthammer-Loeber, M. (1986). Family factors as correlates and predictors of juvenile conduct problems and delinquency. In M. Tonry & N. Morris (Eds.),Crime and justice: Volume 7 (pp. 28–149). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Maguire, M. (1982).Burglary in a dwelling. London: Heinemann.
Maxfield, M. (1987a). Household composition, routine activity, and victimization: A comparative analysis.Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 3, 301–320.
Maxfield, M. (1987b). Lifestyle and routine activity theories of crime.Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 3, 275–282.
Mayhew, P. (1984). Target hardening: How much of An answer? In R. Clarke & T. Hope (Eds.),Coping with burglary (pp. 29–44). Boston: Kluwer Nijhoff.
Messner, S. (1983). Regional differences in the economic correlates of homicide.Criminology, 21, 477–488.
Messner, S., & Blau, J. (1987). Routine leisure activities and rates of crime.Social Forces, 65, 1035–1052.
Miethe, T., & Meier, R. (1990). Opportunity, choice, and criminal victimization: A test of a theoretical model.Journal of Research on Crime and Delinquency, 27, 243–266.
Miethe, T., Stafford, M., & Long, J.S. (1987). Social differentiation in criminal victimization: A test of routine activities/life styles theories.American Sociological Review, 52, 184–194.
Miethe, T., Hughes, M., & McDowall, D. (1991). Social change and crime rates: an evaluation of alternative perspectives.Social Forces, 70, 165–185.
Molumby, T. (1976). Patterns of crime in a university housing project.American Behavioral Scientist, 20, 247–259.
Rengert, G., & Wasilchick, J. (1985).Suburban burglary. Springfield, IL: Charles C. Thomas.
Reppetto, T.A. (1974).Residential crime. Cambridge, MA: Ballinger.
Sampson, R. (1987). Urban Black violence: The effect of male joblessness and family disruption.American Journal of Sociology, 93, 348–382.
Sampson, R. J., & Wooldredge, J. D. (1987). Linking the micro and macro-level dimensions of life-style-routine activity and opportunity models of predatory victimization.Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 3, 371–393.
Sampson, R. J., & Groves, W. B. (1989). Community structure and crime: Testing social disorganization theory.American Journal of Sociology, 94, 774–802.
Shaw, C., & McKay, H. D. (1969).Juvenile delinquency and urban areas. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Shover, N. (1991). Burglary. In M. Tonry (Ed.),Crime and Justice: Volume 14 (pp. 73–113). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Spotts, D. (Ed.) (1986).Travel and tourism in Michigan: A statistical profile (Research Monograph #1). East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University, Travel, Tourism, and Recreational Resource Center.
Stack, S. (1982). Social structure and Swedish crime rates: A time series analysis, 1950–1979.Criminology, 20, 499–513.
Stahura, J.M., & Sloan, J. J. (1988). Urban stratification of places, routine activities and suburban crime rates.Social Forces, 66, 1103–1118.
Tunnell, K.D. (1992).Choosing crime: The criminal calculus of property offenders. Chicago: Nelson-Hall Publishers.
U.S. Bureau of Census. (1989).County Statistics File 3 (COSTAT 3) Technical Documentation. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office.
U.S. Bureau of Census. (1992).County Statistics File 4 (COSTAT 4) Technical Documentation. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office.
Waller, I., & Okihiro, N. (1978).Burglary: The victim and the public. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
Walsh, D. (1986).Heavy business: Commercial burglary and robbery. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul.
Weisberg, S. (1980).Applied linear regression. New York: Wiley.
Williams, K. (1984). Economic sources of homicide: Reestimating the effects of poverty and inequality.American Sociological Review, 49, 283–289.
Wirth, L. (1938). Urbanism as a way of life.American Journal of Sociology, 44, 3–24.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Stack, S. The effect of temporary residences on burglary: A test of criminal opportunity theory. AJCJ 19, 197–214 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02885915
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02885915