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Stocks and the weather: An exercise in data mining or yet another capital market anomaly?

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Abstract

We try to replicate the findings in Saunders (1993) that stock prices are “systematically affected by local weather”. Using German data, we find that whether or not the null hypothesis of no relationship can be rejected depends mostly on the way the null hypothesis is phrased, and that no systematic relationship seems to exist.

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Research supported by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG). We are grateful to “Deutscher Wetterdienst” from Offenbach for providing us with the weather data, and to Eva Zschiesche and Rose Schmitz for discussion and comments. Stock market data were obtained from “Deutsche Finanzdatenbank” in Karlsruhe.

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Krämer, W., Runde, R. Stocks and the weather: An exercise in data mining or yet another capital market anomaly?. Empirical Economics 22, 637–641 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01205784

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01205784

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