An Integrated Model of Transport and Urban Evolution

1. Front Matter

   Pages I-XII

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2. Introduction into the Economic and Traffic Situation of China in General and of Nanjing in Particular

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

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   2. Introduction

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 3-8

   3. China in a State of Flux

      • Peter Nijkamp

      Pages 9-27

   4. Nanjing City and Greater Nanjing

      • Frank Englmann

      Pages 28-37

   5. Traffic Development in China (especially within the Region of Nanjing)

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 38-47

3. Description of the Model and of the Adaptation to the Available Data

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 49-49

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   2. The Integrated Transport and Evolution Model

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 51-61

   3. The Data Situation of Nanjing

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 62-65

   4. Adaptation of ITEM to the Specific Data Situation of Nanjing

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 66-72

4. Presentation of the Scenarios, Results of the Calculations, Conclusions and Recommendations

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 73-73

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   2. Methodology (Analysis and Forecasting) of the Traffic and Urban/Regional Situation of Nanjing City

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 75-85

   3. Analysis of the Transport System and of the Population Development

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 86-95

   4. Forecasting of the Traffic and Urban/Regional Development of Nanjing City for Different Scenarios

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 96-110

   5. Summary and Recommendations

      • Wolfgang Weidlich, Günter Haag

      Pages 111-117

5. Back Matter

   Pages 119-186

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Gone are the days when mobility was nearly always a question of having a vehicle. Today the issue of road capacity is becoming ever more pressing. Even the safest, most comfortable and 100% emissions-free vehicle is only of limited use if it is stuck in a traffic jam. Mobility is a key human need and an important factor in the economy. It is a matter of logic that a com­ pany like DaimlerChrysler should make every endeavor to safeguard mo­ bility, thereby fulfilling humanity's economic, social and environmental needs. Nonetheless, traffic and mobility problems are the inevitable result of a concentration of people and markets. Bombay, Lagos, Shanghai, Jakarta, Sao Paulo, Cairo, Mexico City - virtually half of the world's population is urban-based, and the majority live in the metropolitan regions of the Third World. The mega-cities in the so-called developing nations are facing a dramatic increase in traffic levels. Gridlock looms on the horizon. Should traffic-choked streets become a permanent and daily occurrence, economic development will be held in check and pollution will spiral.

• China
• Metropolitan region
• Stadtentwicklung
• Urban dynamics
• Verkehrsentwicklung
• design
• integrated mathematical models for regional evolution
• integrierte mathematische Modelle für regionale Evulution
• model-based scenario techniques
• modellbasierte Szenariotechniken
• population
• regional development
• traffic
• traffic dynamics
• transport

• University of Stuttgart, Institute for Theoretical Physics, Stuttgart, Germany

  Wolfgang Weidlich

• Steinbeis Transfer Center and University of Stuttgart, Applied Systems Analysis, Stuttgart, Germany

  Günter Haag

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