Abstract
This study investigates the role of institutions in the relationship between natural resources and economic growth using panel data from 44 African countries over the period 1996–2016. We use natural resource rents as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) and the share of ores and metals exports in total merchandise exports as variables for natural resources. To check for endogeneity, heterogeneity, and nonlinearity, we undertake cross-sectional instrumental variable analysis, system dynamic panel-data instrumental variable regression, and panel smooth transition regression. The relationship between natural resources and economic growth varies for indicators of institutional quality and the measure for natural resources.
Résumé
Cette étude examine le rôle des institutions dans la relation entre ressources naturelles et croissance économique en utilisant des données de panel de 44 pays africains pour la période 1996–2016. Nous utilisons les bénéfices tirés des ressources naturelles en pourcentage du PIB et la part des exportations de minerais et de métaux dans les exportations totales de marchandises en tant que variables pour les ressources naturelles. Pour vérifier l’endogénéité, l’hétérogénéité et la non-linéarité, nous entreprenons une analyse transversale des variables instrumentales, une régression de variable instrumentale dynamique et systémique avec données de panel et une régression à transition progressive. La relation entre les ressources naturelles et la croissance économique varie selon les indicateurs de la qualité des institutions et la mesure des ressources naturelles.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
Natural resource rents are defined in this study as the difference obtained from the total revenue that can be generated from the extraction of the natural resource minus the cost of extracting these resources (plus normal return on investment reported by extractive enterprises). This is the sum of oil rents, natural gas rents, coal rents (hard and soft), mineral rents, and forest rents.
The various tests of linearity for the PSTR model for all 14 PSTR regressions computed in this study are available from the authors on request.
References
Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. Robinson. 2003. An African Success Story: Botswana. In Search of Prosperity: Analytical Narrative on Economic Growth, ed. D. Rodrik, 80–122. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
African Development Bank Group. 2014. African Economic Outlook 2014. African Development Bank Group.
Arezki, R., and F. Van der Ploeg. 2007. Can the natural resource curse be turned into a blessing? The role of trade policies and institutions, IMF Working Paper, No. 55. IMF, Washington, DC
Atkison, G., and K. Hamilton. 2003. Saving, Growth and the Resources Curse Hypothesis. World Development 31 (11): 1793–1807.
Auty, R.M. 2001. Resource abundance and economic development. New York: Oxford University Press.
Avom, D., and F. Carmignani. 2010. L’Afrique Centrale peut-elle Eviter le Piège de la Malédiction des Produits de Base? Revue d’Economie du Développement 18: 47–72.
Belarbi, Y., S. Lylia, and S. Said. 2015. Effects of Institutions and Natural Resources in a Multiple Growth Regime. Working Paper, The Economic Research Forum (ERF) 2, Al-Sad Al-Aaly Street Dokki, Giza.
Bhattacharya, S., and R. Hodder. 2010. Natural Resources, Democracy and Corruption. European Economic Review 54: 608–621.
Bjorvant, K., and M.R. Farzanengan. 2013. Demographic Transition in Resource Rich Countries: A Blessing or Curse. World Development 45: 337–351.
Boschini, A., J. Patterson, and J. Ronie. 2013. The resource curse and its potential reversal. World Development 43: 19–41.
Brunnschweiler, C., and E., Bulte. 2008. The Resource Curse Revisited and Revised: A Tale of Paradoxes and red Herrings. Journal of Environment Economics and Management 55(3): 248-264
Bulte, E., R. Damania, and R. Deacon. 2005. Resource Intensity, Institutions and Development. World Development 33 (7): 1029–1044.
Claudio, B., and J. Gregorio. 2005. The Relative Richness of the Poor? Natural Resources, Human Capital and Economic Growth, Working Paper, No. 139, Central Bank of Chile.
Collier, P., and A. Hoeffler. 2005. Resource Rents, Governance, and Conflict. The Journal of Conflict Resolution 49: 625–633.
Collier, P., and A. Hoeffler. 2009. Testing the Neocon Agenda: Democracy in Resource-Rich Societies. European Economic Review 53 (3): 293–308.
Dalgaard, C.J., and O. Olsson. 2008. Windfall Gains, Political Economy and Economic Development. Journal of African Economies 17 (1): 72–109.
Damette, O., and M. Seghir. 2018. Natural Resource Curse in Oil Exporting Countries: A Nonlinear Approach. International Economics, CEPII Research Center, No. 156, pp. 231–246.
Diaw, D., and A. Lessoua. 2013. Natural Resource Exports, Diversification and Economic Growth of CEMAC Countries: On the Impact of Trade with China. African Development Review 25 (2): 189–202.
Dunning, T. 2008. Crude Democracy. Natural Resource Wealth and Political Regimes. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Easterly, W., and R. Levine. 2016. The European Origins of Economic Development. Journal of Economic Growth 21: 225–257.
El Anshashy, A., and M.S. Katshaiti. 2013. Natural Resources and Fiscal Performance: Does Good Governance Matter. Journal of Macroeconomics 37: 285–298.
Gonzalez, A., T. Teräsvirta, and D. Van. 2005. Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model, SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, No. 60.
Granger, C., and T. Teräsvirta. 1993. Modeling Nonlinear Economic Relationships. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Gylfason, T. 2001. Natural Resources, Education, and Economic Development. European Economic Review 45 (4–6): 847–859.
Gylfason, T., T. Herbertsson, and G. Zeoga. 1999. A Mixed Blessing: Natural Resources and Economic Growth. Macroeconomics Dynamics 3: 204–225.
Gylfason, T., and G. Zeoga. 2001. Natural Resources and Economic Growth: The Role of Investment. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2743.
Haber, S., and V. Menaldo. 2011. Do Natural Resources Fuel Authoritarianism? A Reappraisal of the Resource Curse. American Political Science Review 105: 1–26.
Hall, R., and C. Jones. 1999. Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker than Others? Quarterly Journal of Economics 114 (1): 83–116.
Hansen, B. 1999. Threshold Effects in Non-dynamic Panels: Estimation, Testing and Inference. Journal of Econometrics 93 (2): 345–368.
Im, K.S., M.H. Pesaran, and Y. Shin. 2003. Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of Econometrics 115: 53–74.
Joya, O. 2015. Growth and Volatility in Resource-Rich Countries: Does Diversification Help? Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 35: 38–55.
Kaufman, D., A. Kraay, and M. Mastruzzi. 2010. The World Governance Indicators: Methodology and Analytical Issues. Brooking Institutes: Global Economy and Development.
Lalji, N. 2007. The Resource Curse Revised: Conflict and Coltan in the Congo. Harvard International Review 29 (3): 34–38.
Larsen R.E. 2004. Escaping the Resource Curse and the Dutch Disease? When and Why Norway Caught Up with and Forged Ahead of Its Neighbours, Discussion Paper No. 377, Statistics Norway, Oslo.
Le Billon, P. 2008. Diamond Wars? Conflict Diamonds and Geographies of Resource Wars. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 98 (2): 345–372.
Leite, C.A., J. Weidmann. 1999. Does Mother Nature Corrupt? Natural Resources Corruption, and Economic Growth, IMF Working Papers No. 99/85.
Lucas, R. 1988. On the Mechanism of Economic Development. Journal of Monetary Economics 22: 2–42.
Luukkonen, R., P. Saikokonen, and T. Terävirta. 1988. Testing Linearity against Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models. Biometrica 75: 491–499.
Maiti D. 2009. Institutions, Networks and Industrialization: Field Level Evidence of Fragmentation and Flexibility from India, IIPG Discussion Papers No. 26, Research Program Consortium for Improving Institutions for Pro-Poor Growth.
Mankiw, N.G., D. Romer, and D.N. Weil. 1992. A Contribution to the Empirics of Economics Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 107: 407–437.
Mavrotas, G., S.M. Murshed, and S. Torres. 2011. Natural Resources Dependence and Economic Performance in the 1970-200 Period. Review of Development Economics 15 (1): 124–138.
Mehlum, H., K.O. Moene, and R. Torvik. 2006a. Cursed by Resources or Institutions? World Economy 29 (8): 1117–1131.
Mehlum, H., K. Moene, and R. Torviks. 2006b. Institutions and the Resource Curse. The Economic Journal 116 (508): 1–20.
Moshiri, S., and S. Hayati. 2017. Natural Resources, Institutional Quality, and Economic Growth. Iranian Economic Review 21 (3): 661–693.
Murshed, M. 2003. When Does Natural Resource Abundance Lead to a Resource Curse?. The Hague: Mimeo, Institute of Social Studies.
Ndjokou, I.M.M.M., and P.C. Tsopmo. 2017. The Effects on Economic Growth of Natural Resources in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does the Quality of Institutions Matters? Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon 37 (1): 248–263.
Nuno, T., A. Óscar, and S. Isabel. 2009. Natural Resources, Economic Growth and Institutions: A Panel approach, FEP Working Papers 338, Universidade do Porto.
Olsson, O. 2007. Conflict Diamonds. Journal of Development Economics 82 (2): 267–286.
Omgba, L.D. 2010. Trois Essais sur l’Economie Politique de la Rente Pétrolière dans les Etats africains. Thèse Nouveau Régime, Université d’Auvergne-Clermont-Ferrand I.
Robinson, J.A., R. Torvik, and T. Verdier. 2006. Political Foundations of the Resource Curse. Journal of Development Economics 79 (2): 447–468.
Ross, M.L. 2001. Does Oil Hinder Democracy. World Politics 53 (3): 325–361.
Sachs, J., and A. Warner. 1997. Source of Slow Growth in African Economies. Journal of African Economies 6 (3): 335–376.
Sachs, J., and A. Warner. 1999. The Big Push, Natural Resource Booms and Growth. Journal of Development Economics 59 (1): 43–76.
Sachs, J., and A. Warner. 2001. The Curse of Natural Resources. European Economic Review 45 (4–6): 827–838.
Sala-i-Martin, X., and A. Subramanian. 2013. Addressing the Natural Resource Curse: An Illustration from Nigeria. Journal of African Economies 22 (4): 570–615.
Solow, R.M. 1956. A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 71: 65–94.
Toto Same A. 2008. Mineral-Rich Countries and Dutch Disease: Understanding the Macroeconomic Implications of Windfalls and the Development Prospects. The Case of Equatorial Guinea, Policy Research Working Paper No. 4595, World Bank.
Tsani, S. 2013. Natural Resource, Governance and Institutional Quality: The Role of Resource Funds. Resources Policy 38: 181–195.
Van der Ploeg, F., and S. Poelhekke. 2009. The Volatility Curse: Revisiting the Paradox of Plenty, DNB Working Papers No. 206, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Wantchekon, L. 2002. Why do Resource Dependent Countries Have Authoritarian Governments. Journal of African Finance and Economic Development 5 (2): 57–77.
World Bank. 2018a. World Development indicator 2017. Washington, DC: World Bank.
World Bank. 2018b. Worldwide Governance Indicator 2017. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Epo, B.N., Nochi Faha, D.R. Natural Resources, Institutional Quality, and Economic Growth: an African Tale. Eur J Dev Res 32, 99–128 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-019-00222-6
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-019-00222-6