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Palgrave Macmillan
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The 2012 French Election

How the Electorate Decided

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  • © 2016

Overview

  • The first in-depth longitudinal electoral study of a French presidential election, now available in English
  • Assembles a team of high-profile French election specialists to analyze this data on electoral choices and make case-specific and broader conclusions
  • Presents the data and results from this groundbreaking study with a new introduction and conclusion for English-speaking readers

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Table of contents (15 chapters)

  1. Perceptions of the Campaign

  2. Making a Voting Choice

  3. Expectations of the Incoming President

Keywords

About this book

This edited volume is based on a highly original survey carried out between November 2011 and June 2012 among a panel of 6,000 voters. The panel was interviewed on 12 separate occasions about how and why they made their voting choices. The book focuses on how electoral choices are made and how these choices evolve during the short time-span of an election campaign. The analysis of the 2012 electoral result shows more than ever that voting choices are the fruit of interweaving timelines: the long term period that characterizes voters’ predispositions and their predictions of a possible scenario; the shorter period of time during which the campaign unfolds where those predispositions are either confirmed, called into question, or undone; and the moment when the final choice is made. This is the first time the electoral decision-making process during a French Presidential election has been systematically studied. 

Reviews

“This new book by an outstanding team of French political scientists uses an innovative panel survey technique to reveal, as never before, the twists and turns of voters as they deliberate on their preferences during the months preceding a major national election.  Every specialist on French politics and/or voting behavior would be advised to read this book closely and reflect on future applications of the methodology employed.” (John T.S. Keeler, Dean of the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, University of Pittsburgh, USA)

“This is an illuminating review of the French presidential election of 2012.  Granted, this is only one election but the details both illustrate and can help inform broader theories of policy voting, turnout, candidate images, and the like.  The book should therefore be of interest….to those interested in French politics, voting behavior, elections, political parties, public opinion, political psychology, and political communications more generally.” (Robert Luskin, Associate Professor, Department of Government, The University of Texas at Austin, USA)

“This book will be welcomed by all European Studies scholars interested in French politics.   This substantive and significant volume contains new insights into campaign developments as well as voting behavior in France. This detailed empirical analysis based on an impressive panel study challenges the dominant view of a free-floating French electorate.  This book makes an attractive and analytically compelling account of contemporary electoral dynamics in France.” (Marc Swyngedouw, Director Institute for Social and Political Opinion research (ISPO), Center for Sociological Research - KU Leuven, Belgium)

Editors and Affiliations

  • Sciences Po Centre de Recherches Politiques (CEVIPOF), Paris, France

    Pascal Perrineau

About the editor

Pascal Perrineau is Distinguished Professor at Sciences Po Paris, France, and has advised numerous media and scientific projects. His research focuses mainly on electoral sociology, the extreme right in France and in Europe, and the new socio-political cleavages at work in European societies. He is the author of many works, including Le Vote normal (2012) and, with Dominique Reynié, Le Dictionnaire du vote (2001).

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