Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Water quality index forecast using artificial neural network techniques optimized with different metaheuristic algorithms

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

An accurate water quality index (WQI) forecast is essential for freshwater resources management due to providing early warnings to prevent environmental disasters. This research provides a novel procedure to simulate monthly WQI considering water quality parameters and rainfall. The methodology includes data pre-processing and an artificial neural network (ANN) model integrated with the constraint coefficient-based particle swarm optimization and chaotic gravitational search algorithm (CPSOCGSA). The CPSOCGSA technique was compared with the marine predator's optimization algorithm (MPA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) to increase the model's reliability. The Yesilirmak River data from 1995 to 2014 was considered to build and inspect the suggested strategy. The outcomes show the pre-processing data methods enhance the quality of the original dataset and identify the optimal predictors' scenario. The CPSOCGSA-ANN algorithm delivers the best performance compared with MPA-ANN and PSO-ANN considering multiple statistical indicators. Overall, the methodology shows good performance with R2 = 0.965, MAE = 0.01627, and RMSE = 0.0187.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abd Elaziz M, Shehabeldeen TA, Elsheikh AH, Zhou J, Ewees AA, Al-qaness MAA (2020) Utilization of random vector functional link integrated with marine predators algorithm for tensile behavior prediction of dissimilar friction stir welded aluminum alloy joints. J Market Res 9(5):11370–11381. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmrt.2020.08.022

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aghel B, Rezaei A, Mohadesi M (2018) Modeling and prediction of water quality parameters using a hybrid particle swarm optimization-neural fuzzy approach. Int J Environ Sci Technol 16(8):4823–4832. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-018-1896-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ahmed MS, Mohamed A, Khatib T, Shareef H, Homod RZ, Ali JA (2017) Real time optimal schedule controller for home energy management system using new binary backtracking search algorithm. Energy Build 138:215–227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.12.052

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alawsi MA, Zubaidi SL, Al-Ansari N, Al-Bugharbee H, Ridha HM (2022) Tuning ann hyperparameters by CPSOCGSA, MPA, and SMA for short-term spi drought forecasting. Atmosphere 13(9):1436

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aldhyani TH, Al-Yaari M, Alkahtani H, Maashi M (2020a) Water quality prediction using artificial intelligence algorithms. Appl Bionics Biomech

  • Aldhyani THH, Al-Yaari M, Alkahtani H, Maashi M (2020b) Water quality prediction using artificial intelligence algorithms. Appl Bionics Biomech 2020:6659314. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/6659314

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Araghinejad S (2013) Data-driven modeling: using Matlab® in water resources and environmental engineering, vol 67. Springer

  • Asadollah SBHS, Sharafati A, Motta D, Yaseen ZM (2021) River water quality index prediction and uncertainty analysis: a comparative study of machine learning models. J Environ Chem Eng. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jece.2020.104599

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Azad A, Karami H, Farzin S, Mousavi S-F, Kisi O (2019) Modeling river water quality parameters using modified adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system. Water Sci Eng 12(1):45–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wse.2018.11.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Calì D, Osterhage T, Streblow R, Müller D (2016) Energy performance gap in refurbished german dwellings: lesson learned from a field test. Energy Build 127:1146–1158

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang F-J, Chen P-A, Chang L-C, Tsai Y-H (2016) Estimating spatio-temporal dynamics of stream total phosphate concentration by soft computing techniques. Sci Total Environ 562:228–236

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen Y, Song L, Liu Y, Yang L, Li D (2020) A review of the artificial neural network models for water quality prediction. Appl Sci 10(17):5776

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Das Kangabam R, Bhoominathan SD, Kanagaraj S, Govindaraju M (2017) Development of a water quality index (WQI) for the loktak lake in india. Appl Water Sci 7(6):2907–2918

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dawson CW, Abrahart RJ, See LM (2007) Hydrotest: a web-based toolbox of evaluation metrics for the standardised assessment of hydrological forecasts. Environ Model Softw 22(7):1034–1052

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dinc B, Çelebi A, Avaz G, Canlı O, Güzel B, Eren B, Yetis U (2021) Spatial distribution and source identification of persistent organic pollutants in the sediments of the yeşilırmak river and coastal area in the black sea. Mar Pollut Bull 172:112884

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ewaid SH, Abed SA, Kadhum SA (2018) Predicting the tigris river water quality within Baghdad, Iraq by using water quality index and regression analysis. Environ Technol Innov 11:390–398

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Faramarzi A, Heidarinejad M, Mirjalili S, Gandomi AH (2020) Marine predators algorithm: a nature-inspired metaheuristic. Expert Syst Appl 152:113377

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Faruk DÖ (2010) A hybrid neural network and arima model for water quality time series prediction. Eng Appl Artif Intell 23(4):586–594

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gharghan SK, Nordin R, Ismail M (2016) A wireless sensor network with soft computing localization techniques for track cycling applications. Sensors 16(8):1043

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ghorbani MA, Deo RC, Karimi V, Yaseen ZM, Terzi O (2018) Implementation of a hybrid MLP-FFA model for water level prediction of lake Egirdir, Turkey. Stoch Env Res Risk Assess 32(6):1683–1697

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Golyandina N, Korobeynikov A, Zhigljavsky A (2018) Singular spectrum analysis with r. Springer, New York

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Gupta S, Gupta SK (2021) A critical review on water quality index tool: genesis, evolution and future directions. Ecol Inform. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2021.101299

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hajirahimi Z, Khashei M (2022) Hybridization of hybrid structures for time series forecasting: a review. Artif Intell Rev. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-022-10199-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hameed M, Sharqi SS, Yaseen ZM, Afan HA, Hussain A, Elshafie A (2016) Application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques in water quality index prediction: a case study in tropical region, malaysia. Neural Comput Appl 28(S1):893–905. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-016-2404-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huo S, He Z, Su J, Xi B, Zhu C (2013) Using artificial neural network models for eutrophication prediction. Proc Environ Sci 18:310–316

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Judran NH, Kumar A (2020) Evaluation of water quality of Al-Gharraf river using the water quality index (WQI). Model Earth Syst Environ 6(3):1581–1588. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-020-00775-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kadam A, Wagh V, Muley A, Umrikar B, Sankhua R (2019) Prediction of water quality index using artificial neural network and multiple linear regression modelling approach in Shivganga river basin, India. Model Earth Syst Environ 5(3):951–962

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Karami F, Dariane AB (2022) Melody search algorithm using online evolving artificial neural network coupled with singular spectrum analysis for multireservoir system management. Iran J Sci Technol Trans Civ Eng 46(2):1445–1457

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Koranga M, Pant P, Kumar T, Pant D, Bhatt AK, Pant R (2022) Efficient water quality prediction models based on machine learning algorithms for Nainital Lake, Uttarakhand. In: Materials today: proceedings

  • Kossieris P, Makropoulos C (2018) Exploring the statistical and distributional properties of residential water demand at fine time scales. Water 10(10):1481

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kouadri S, Pande CB, Panneerselvam B, Moharir KN, Elbeltagi A (2022) Prediction of irrigation groundwater quality parameters using ANN, LSTM, and MLR models. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29(14):21067–21091

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kulisz M, Kujawska J, Przysucha B, Cel W (2021) Forecasting water quality index in groundwater using artificial neural network. Energies 14(18):5875

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kulisz M, Kujawska J (2021) Application of artificial neural network (ANN) for water quality index (WQI) prediction for the River Warta, Poland. In: Paper presented at the Journal of Physics: conference series

  • Michalak AM (2016) Study role of climate change in extreme threats to water quality. Nature 535(7612):349–350. https://doi.org/10.1038/535349a

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Modaresi F, Araghinejad S (2014) A comparative assessment of support vector machines, probabilistic neural networks, and k-nearest neighbor algorithms for water quality classification. Water Resour Manag 28(12):4095–4111

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mohammadi B, Mehdizadeh S (2020) Modeling daily reference evapotranspiration via a novel approach based on support vector regression coupled with whale optimization algorithm. Agricult Water Manag 237:106145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106145

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mohammadi B, Linh NTT, Pham QB, Ahmed AN, Vojteková J, Guan Y, Abba SI, El-Shafie A (2020) Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system coupled with shuffled frog leaping algorithm for predicting river streamflow time series. Hydrol Sci J 65(10):1738–1751. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1758703

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nabipour N, Dehghani M, Mosavi A, Shamshirband S (2020) Short-term hydrological drought forecasting based on different nature-inspired optimization algorithms hybridized with artificial neural networks. IEEE Access 8:15210–15222. https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2020.2964584

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NOAA (2021) National oceanic and atmospheric administration. Data tools: find a station. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/findstation

  • Ouyang Q, Lu W (2018) Monthly rainfall forecasting using echo state networks coupled with data preprocessing methods. Water Resour Manag 32(2):659–674

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pallant J (2020) SPSS survival manual: a step by step guide to data analysis using ibm. SPSS, Routledge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Panaskar D, Wagh V, Muley A, Mukate S, Pawar R, Aamalawar M (2016) Evaluating groundwater suitability for the domestic, irrigation, and industrial purposes in Nanded Tehsil, Maharashtra, India, using GIS and statistics. Arab J Geosci 9(13):1–16

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Payal A, Rai CS, Reddy BR (2015) Analysis of some feedforward artificial neural network training algorithms for developing localization framework in wireless sensor networks. Wirel Pers Commun 82(4):2519–2536

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pham QB, Yang T-C, Kuo C-M, Tseng H-W, Yu P-S (2021) Coupling singular spectrum analysis with least square support vector machine to improve accuracy of SPI drought forecasting. Water Resour Manag 35(3):847–868

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Polomčić D, Gligorić Z, Bajić D, Cvijović Č (2017) A hybrid model for forecasting groundwater levels based on fuzzy c-mean clustering and singular spectrum analysis. Water 9(7):541

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rajaee T, Boroumand A (2015) Forecasting of chlorophyll-a concentrations in south san francisco bay using five different models. Appl Ocean Res 53:208–217

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ramakrishnaiah C, Sadashivaiah C, Ranganna G (2009) Assessment of water quality index for the groundwater in Tumkur Taluk, Karnataka State, India. E-J. Chem. 6(2):523–530

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rather SA, Bala PS (2019a) Hybridization of constriction coefficient-based particle swarm optimization and chaotic gravitational search algorithm for solving engineering design problems. In: Paper presented at the international conference on advanced communication and networking

  • Rather SA, Bala PS (2019b) Hybridization of constriction coefficient based particle swarm optimization and gravitational search algorithm for function optimization. In: Paper presented at the proceedings of the international conference on advances in electronics, electrical & computational intelligence (ICAEEC)

  • Reddy PCS, Yadala S, Goddumarri SN (2022) Development of rainfall forecasting model using machine learning with singular spectrum analysis. IIUM Eng J 23(1):172–186

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sakizadeh M (2016) Artificial intelligence for the prediction of water quality index in groundwater systems. Model Earth Syst Environ 2(1):1–9

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Şener Ş, Şener E, Davraz A (2017) Evaluation of water quality using water quality index (WQI) method and GIS in Aksu River (SW-Turkey). Sci Total Environ 584:131–144

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shanley K (2017) Climate change and water quality: keeping a finger on the pulse. Am J Public Health 107(1):e10. https://doi.org/10.2105/ajph.2016.303504

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharma P, Meher PK, Kumar A, Gautam YP, Mishra KP (2014) Changes in water quality index of ganges river at different locations in allahabad. Sustain Water Qual Ecol 3:67–76

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tabachnick BG, Fidell LS, Ullman JB (2007) Using multivariate statistics, vol 5. Pearson, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  • Tao H, Al-Bedyry NK, Khedher KM, Shahid S, Yaseen ZM (2021) River water level prediction in coastal catchment using hybridized relevance vector machine model with improved grasshopper optimization. J Hydrol 598:126477

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taylor KE (2001) Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram. J Geophys Res Atmos 106(D7):7183–7192. https://doi.org/10.1029/2000jd900719

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Uddin MG, Nash S, Olbert AI (2021) A review of water quality index models and their use for assessing surface water quality. Ecol Ind 122:107218

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ustaoğlu F, Tepe Y, Taş B (2020) Assessment of stream quality and health risk in a subtropical turkey river system: a combined approach using statistical analysis and water quality index. Ecol Indic. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105815

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Valentini M, dos Santos GB, Muller Vieira B (2021) Multiple linear regression analysis (MLR) applied for modeling a new WQI equation for monitoring the water quality of Mirim Lagoon, in the State of Rio Grande do Sul—Brazil. SN Appl Sci 3(1):70. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-04005-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vijay S, Kamaraj K (2021) Prediction of water quality index in drinking water distribution system using activation functions based ann. Water Resour Manag 35(2):535–553

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • WH Organization, WHO, Staff WHO (2004) Guidelines for drinking-water quality, vol 1. World Health Organization

  • Wu J, Wang Z (2022) A hybrid model for water quality prediction based on an artificial neural network, wavelet transform, and long short-term memory. Water 14(4):610

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yilma M, Kiflie Z, Windsperger A, Gessese N (2018) Application of artificial neural network in water quality index prediction: a case study in little akaki river, addis ababa, ethiopia. Model Earth Syst Environ 4(1):175–187

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yousri D, Babu TS, Beshr E, Eteiba MB, Allam D (2020) A robust strategy based on marine predators algorithm for large scale photovoltaic array reconfiguration to mitigate the partial shading effect on the performance of pv system. IEEE Access 8:112407–112426. https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2020.3000420

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zubaidi SL, Gharghan SK, Dooley J, Alkhaddar RM, Abdellatif M (2018) Short-term urban water demand prediction considering weather factors. Water Resour Manag 32(14):4527–4542. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-018-2061-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Hasanain Zamili.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that they have no personal or financial interest, which could influence the work presented in this paper.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Zamili, H., Bakan, G., Zubaidi, S.L. et al. Water quality index forecast using artificial neural network techniques optimized with different metaheuristic algorithms. Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 9, 4323–4333 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01750-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01750-1

Keywords

Navigation