Abstract
We model the global maritime transportation system as a multilayer network of sea routes and land routes that work together to deliver cargo on a global scale. The nodes of this network represent seaports and maritime chokepoints, and the arcs represent route segments at sea or on land, respectively. We construct our network using free, publicly available data from online sources, and we reverse engineer the global demand for container cargo transport. We use this layered network to identify important nodes from a connectivity standpoint. We also develop a flow-based model that directs the aggregate movement of goods between ports on the shortest and/or cheapest available route, and uses re-routing strategies if a route segment becomes impassable for container ships. We use this model to assess the impact of the loss of one or more container ports or maritime chokepoints. Using the base case of no disruptions, we measure the amount of goods that have to be re-routed in case of each disruption and the corresponding “cost” of doing so. Collectively, these results present a novel view of the security of transportation supply and set the stage for future work examining the global resilience of maritime transport systems.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Ahuja RK, Magnanti TL, Orlin JB (1993) Network flows: theory, algorithms, and applications. Prentice Hall
Alderson D, Doyle J (2010) Contrasting views of complexity and their implications for network-centric infrastructures. IEEE Trans Sys Man Cybernetics A: Systems And Humans 40(4):839–852
Alderson DL (2008) Catching the “network science” bug: insight and opportunity for the operations researcher. Oper Res 56(5):1047–1065
Alderson DL, Brown GG, Carlyle WM (2014) Assessing and improving operational resilience of critical infrastructures and other systems. In: Newman A, Leung J (eds) Tutorials in Operations Research: Bridging Data and Decisions. INFORMS, 180–215
Alderson DL, Brown GG, Carlyle WM (2015) Operational models of infrastructure resilience. Risk Anal 35(4):562–586
Alderson DL, Brown GG, Carlyle WM, Cox LA (2013) Sometimes there is no “most vital” arc: assessing and improving the operational resilience of systems. Mil Oper Res 18(1):21–37
Basu P, Sundaram R, Dippel M (2015) Multiplex networks: a generative model and algorithmic complexity. Proceedings of the 2015 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining 2015. ACM, 456–463
Bencomo LA (2009) Modeling the effects of a transportation security incident on the commercial transportation system. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California
Brin S, Page L (2012) Reprint of: the anatomy of a large-scale hypertextual web search engine. Comput Netw 56(18):3825–3833
Brown GG, Carlyle WM, Salmerón JS, Wood RK (2006) Defending critical infrastructure. Interfaces 36:530–544
Brown GG, Washburn AR (2017) Method and system for determining shortest oceanic routes. United States patent 9,541,401. Issued 10 January
Bruns S, Petretto K, Petrovic D (2013) Maritime Sicherheit [maritime security] . Springer-Verlag
Cardillo A, Zanin M, Gómez-Gardenes J, Romance M, del Amo AJ, Boccaletti S (2013) Modeling the multi-layer nature of the European air transport network: resilience and passengers re-scheduling under random failures. The European Physical Journal Special Topics 215(1):23–33
Central Intelligence Agency (2017) The world factbook. URL https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/. Accessed February 2017
Chen L, Miller-Hooks E (2012) Resilience: an indicator of recovery capability in intermodal freight transport. Transp Sci 46(1):109–123
Cohen SS (2002) Economic impact of a west coast dock shutdown. University of California at Berkeley 1
Cruz A (2016) Bankruptcy woes: Hanjin makes waves across the world. Global trade http://www.globaltrademag.com/global-logistics/bankruptcy-woes-hanjin-makes-waves-across-world. Accessed 4 Dec 2017
De Domenico M, Lancichinetti A, Arenas A, Rosvall M (2015) Identifying modular flows on multilayer networks reveals highly overlapping organization in interconnected systems. Physical Review X 5(1):011027
De la Cruz CF (2011) Defending the maritime transport of cargo for the Hawaiian islands. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
Drake JM, Lodge DM (2007) Hull fouling is a risk factor for intercontinental species exchange in aquatic ecosystems. Aquat Invasions (2)
Ducruet C, Notteboom T (2012) The worldwide maritime network of container shipping: spatial structure and regional dynamics. Global networks 12(3):395–423
Faturechi R, Miller-Hooks E (2014) Measuring the performance of transportation infrastructure systems in disasters: a comprehensive review. J Infrastruct Syst 21(1):04014025
Flynn SE, Holmes J, Burke S (2017) A new international framework for bolstering global supply system security and resilience. Tech. rep., Global Resilience Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA
Freeman LC (1977) A set of measures of centrality based on betweenness. Sociometry 35-41
Funk D (2017) Analysis of the global maritime transportation system and its resilience. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
Garcia Olalla OR (2012) Assessing the resilience of global sea routes. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
Google (2017) Google Maps. URL http://www.maps.google.com/. Accessed December 04, 2017
Guimerá R, Amaral LAN (2004) Modeling the world-wide airport network. The European Physical Journal B 38(2):381–385
Guimerá R, Mossa S, Turtschi A, Amaral LAN (2005) The worldwide air transportation network: anomalous centrality, community structure, and cities' global roles. Proc Natl Acad Sci 102(22):7794–7799
Hirsch JE (2005) An index to quantify an individual's scientific research output. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 102(46):16569
Huber T (2014) "Global Ports" in der maritimen Transportwirtschaft. Akteursbasierende Bewertung des weltweiten Netzwerks von Hafenstandorten ["global ports" in the maritime transport sector, a player based assessment of the global network of port locations]. Ph.D. thesis, Fakultt fr Philosphie, Kunst-, Geschichts- und Gesellschaftswissenschaften der Universitt Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany
Jiang J, Lee LH, Chew EP, Gan CC (2015) Port connectivity study: an analysis framework from a global container liner shipping network perspective. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 73:47–64
Kaluza P, Klzsch A, Gastner MT, Blasius B (2010) The complex network of global cargo ship movements. J R Soc Interface 7(48):1093–1103
Katz L (1953) A new status index derived from sociometric analysis. Psychometrika 18(1):39–43
Khouri A (2015) West coast ports facing shutdown in labor dispute. Los Angeles Times https://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-port-shutdown-20150207-story.html. Accessed 29 May 2017
Komiss W, Huntzinger L (2011) The economic implications of disruptions to maritime oil chokepoints. Center for Naval Analysis
Madhusudan C, Ganapathy GP (2011) Disaster resilience of transportation infrastructure and ports: an overview. International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences 2(2):443
Martagan TG, Eksioglu B, Eksioglu SD, Greenwood AG (2009) A simulation model of port operations during crisis conditions. Proceedings of the 2009 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), 2832–2843
Microsoft Corporation (2017) Bing Maps. http://www.bing.com/maps. Accessed December 04, 2017
Miller-Hooks E, Zhang X, Faturechi R (2012) Measuring and maximizing resilience of freight transportation networks. Comput Oper Res 39(7):1633–1643
Mintzer DS (2014) Optimizing the resilience of containerized cargo transportation infrastructure in the port of Los Angeles. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
Mitchell R (2015) Web scraping with Python: collecting data from the modern web. O'Reilly Media, Inc.
Nagurney A (2006) Supply chain network economics: dynamics of prices, flows and profits. Edward Elgar Publishing
Newman M (2010) Networks: an introduction. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Noer JH, Gregory D (1996) Chokepoints: maritime economic concerns in Southeast Asia. Tech. rep. DTIC Document
Onuska JJ (2012) Defending the Pittsburgh waterways against catastrophic disruption. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
Pidgeon ED (2008) Modeling the effects of a transportation security incident upon the marine transportation system. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
Rodrigue J-P, Comtois C, Slack B (2017) The geography of transport systems (4th Ed.). Taylor & Francis
Ruiz GM, Rawlings TK, Dobbs FC, Drake LA, Mullady T, Huq A, Colwell RR (2000) Global spread of microorganisms by ships. Nature 408(6808):49–50
Sabidussi G (1966) The centrality index of a graph. Psychometrika 31(4):581–603
SeaRates LP (2017) SeaRates.com: Digital Broker & Freight Forwarder. URL http://www.searates.com. Last accessed December 04, 2017
Shaw ME (1954) Some effects of unequal distribution of information upon group performance in various communication nets. The journal of abnormal and social psychology 49 (4p1) 547
Stephenson K, Zelen M (1989) Rethinking centrality: methods and examples. Soc Networks 11(1):1–37
The Tioga Group, Inc (2010) Container port capacity study. Report submitted to the US Army Corps of Engineers. Institute for Water Resources, Alexandria
Wang C, Wang J (2011) Spatial pattern of the global shipping network and its hub-and-spoke system. Res Transp Econ 32(1):54–63
Wang Y, Cullinane K (2016) Determinants of port centrality in maritime container transportation. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 95:326–340
Wenke W (2015) Assessing the operational resilience of the port of Anchorage: recommendations for investment and implications for policy. Master's thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
World Trade Organization (2007) World trade report. World Trade Organization
Zeihan P (2014) The accidental superpower: the next generation of American preeminence and the coming global disorder. Twelve, New York
Acknowledgments
This manuscript is adapted from the thesis by one of the authors (Funk 2017), and portions of this work have appeared there. The authors would like to thank Stephen Flynn for ongoing conversations about the security and resilience of the maritime transport system. This research was funded in part by the Office of Naval Research and the Defense Threat Reduction Agency.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Appendix. Additional Data Tables
Appendix. Additional Data Tables
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Alderson, D.L., Funk, D. & Gera, R. Analysis of the global maritime transportation system as a layered network. J Transp Secur 13, 291–325 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12198-019-00204-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12198-019-00204-z