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A Natural History Model of Low Birth Rate Issues in Japan since the 1990s

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Abstract

This paper tries to combine the natural history model of social problems with Foucauldian discourse analysis. Foucault tried to outline connections between knowledge and power, and this paper applied his method to qualitative content analysis of discourse on low birth rates in Japanese news articles and discussions among the Japan’s national Diet members. This paper focuses on two topics: how some policies to combat low birth rates were adopted, while other were rejected; and why the policies which were adopted tend to favor two-income families. In order to answer these two questions, this paper selects seven important events from 1990 to 2016 in order to understand what kind of power or knowledge operates, and what kind of similarities in the discourse appear repeatedly and regularly. This paper highlights four points. First, claim-makers who regarded declining birth rates as a serious social problem---population experts, politicians, bureaucrats, and feminists---influenced political decisions against low birth rates. The low birth rate issues can be considered a government-manufactured social problem. Second, the policies against low birth rates have emphasized that difficulty in balancing work and childrearing decreases the fertility rates. Therefore, gender-equality and work-life balance have been dominant within the discourses on low birth rates, and the more fundamental problem of why young people are postponing marriage have been ignored. Third, both bureaucrats in the Ministry of Finance balancing national revenue and expenditure and feminist activists emphasizing gender-equality and work-life balance often reject a child allowance which provides equal benefit to each child regardless of the parents’ lifestyle. Fourth, merely welfare policies that are adaptive to the ideologies of gender-equality and work-life balance have been implemented. Bureaucrats, lawmakers, and feminist activists gained ownership of a social problem. Similarly, the gender-equality ideology has only catered to heterosexual males and females who form a family, work outside, and raise children equally. Therefore, single persons with no family or singleincome families have been neglected. This should be described as the exertion of governmental power.

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Notes

  1. Another fruitful natural history model of social problem process is proposed by Joel Best (2016). Best lists six stages: Claimsmaking, Media Coverage, Public Reaction, Policymaking, Social Problems Work, and Policy Outcomes (Best ibid.:19). The model can focus on broad and macro structures, including social contexts and settings in which claim-making activities occur. This paper especially focuses on Policymaking, Media Coverage and Public Reaction because low birth rate issues in Japan are primarily claimed by population experts, policymakers, and media workers that follow them. Most Public Reactions are declined to be influenced by other stages.

  2. This paper takes context constructionism stance proposed by Joel Best and Lawrence Nichols (Best 2016; Nichols 2015). As Nichols suggests, this paper accepts that contexts are constructed by claims-makers and social science analysts through their definitional ‘context work’ and, therefore, truths are complex and paradoxical (Nichols ibid., pp.82–4). In this paper, the causes of low birth rates to which claims-makers and analysts attribute are examples of contexts. Some might be correct, and others might be not from statistical and scientific point of view. The author of this paper takes the stance that analysts including the author can reasonably judge which causes are justifiable, and others are ‘distorted’ or not. By taking the stance, context constructionism can develop further research questions: some figures and/or statistics are distorted. And even so, how and why such ‘distorted’ figures or statistics can be prevalent in the social problem process.

  3. For instance, a Japanese economic demographer Yamaguchi Mitoshi argued that female labour participation along with their higher education decreased birth rates using longitudinal data between 1900 and 1970 (Yamaguchi 2001).

  4. Akagawa (2004, p. 94) picks up ten well-known Japanese feminists, economists and bureaucrats between 2000 and 2004, who argued that gender equality causes higher birth rates among advanced countries.

  5. In this section, the author of this paper has appeared as a claimsmaker on low birthrate issues in Japan. As a claimsmaker, the author challenged the diagram above and the discourse that gender-equality is related to low birthrates. However, in this paper, the author tries to analyze himself as an object of the research, in other words, as one of the claimsmakers in this issue. This reflexive analysis has been recommended by Kitsuse and Spector (1977, p.127).

  6. A “society in which all citizens are dynamically engaged” is one of the key slogans of the Shinzo Abe administration.

  7. According to Financial Times Lexicon, Abenomics is “the name given to a suite of measures introduced by Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe after his December 2012 re-election to the post he last held in 2007. His aim was to revive the sluggish economy with “three arrows”: a massive fiscal stimulus, more aggressive monetary easing from the Bank of Japan, and structural reforms to boost Japan’s competitiveness” (http://lexicon.ft.com/Term?term=abenomics).

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Akagawa, M. A Natural History Model of Low Birth Rate Issues in Japan since the 1990s. Am Soc 50, 300–314 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12108-019-9404-x

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