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Trajectories of Physical Aggression Among Hispanic Urban Adolescents and Young Adults: An Application of Latent Trajectory Modeling from Ages 12 to 18

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Abstract

This study sought to identify trajectories of physical aggression among urban Hispanic youth, and to examine the effects of risk and protective factors at age 11 on trajectories of physical aggression over time (ages 12–18). Relying on data from 731 urban Hispanic adolescents from Project Northland Chicago (PNC), latent trajectory modeling was used to determine the number of trajectories, and multinomial logistic regression was used to identify the predictors associated with trajectory membership. The results suggested five trajectories of physical aggression (non-aggressive, low stable, escalators, early-rapid desistors, and high aggression/moderate desistors). After adjusting for several risk and protective factors, language preference (e.g. speaking Spanish at home) was identified as a protective factor, while indirect exposure to alcohol, sadness/depression, fewer negative alcohol-related attitudes, and threatening to fight were associated with increased risk for physical aggression. Study implications indicate that early, multilevel prevention efforts are necessary to deter the initiation and promote the desistance of physical aggression over time among urban Hispanic adolescents.

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Acknowledgments

This study was funded by grants from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism and the National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities (AA017480, AA013458 and AA016549). The authors thank Karen Alfano, MBA and Carolyn Kulb, B.A., for survey design and management of data collection, Kian Farbakhsh, M.S., for database design and management, and Cheryl Perry, PhD, for her overall contributions to the PNC study. We gratefully acknowledge the participation of students and parents.

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Correspondence to Mildred M. Maldonado-Molina.

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Maldonado-Molina, M.M., Reingle, J.M., Tobler, A.L. et al. Trajectories of Physical Aggression Among Hispanic Urban Adolescents and Young Adults: An Application of Latent Trajectory Modeling from Ages 12 to 18. Am J Crim Just 35, 121–133 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12103-010-9074-2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12103-010-9074-2

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