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Parameterization and Evaluation of a Simple Simulation Model (SSM-iCrop2) for Potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) Growth and Yield in Iran

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Abstract

Crop models can be used to estimate yield, water requirements and plant nutrition requirements under different conditions. This study examines the performance of the SSM-iCrop2 model in terms of predicting tuber yield, phenological stage and water requirement of potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) under changing climate circumstances in Iran. Simulation of potato growth, tuber yield and water requirement for cultivars commonly grown in Iran (Agria, Marfona, Sante and Arinda) was performed using the SSM-iCrop2 model. Data from different field experiments in major potato-producing provinces were used for parameterization and evaluation. The parameterization results of the SSM-iCrop2 model showed that two maturity groups (early and late maturity) were determined with thermal units of 1100 and 1500 °C day−1, respectively, in the important potato-producing provinces. The model was evaluated based on independent experimental data which were not used for parameterization step. The observed tuber yield and water requirement ranged between 2013 and 5902 g m−2 and 3523 and 8547 m3 ha−1 with an average of 3542 g m−2 and 6178 m3 ha−1, respectively. The simulated tuber yield and water requirement varied in the range of 2489 to 5881 g m−2 and 2200 to 7149 m3 ha−1 with an average of 3607 g m−2 and 5901 m3 ha−1, respectively. Also, the evaluation results indicated that the correlation coefficient (r), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of variation (CV) for the simulated versus observed tuber yield and water requirement were 0.80, 543 g m−2 and 14% and 0.85, 944 m3 ha−1 and 15%, respectively. Therefore, the model can be used to estimate potential tuber yield, yield gap and the effects of climate change.

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Acknowledgements

The authors acknowledge the cooperation of Dr. Alireza Nehbandani and Majid Alimagham from the Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources.

Funding

This research was supported by the Agricultural Research, Education and Extention Organization of Iran, hereby the authors express their gratitude.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Genetic and Plant Production, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Vali-e-Asr University of Rafsanjan, Rafsanjan, Iran

    Amir Dadrasi & Asghar Rahimi

  2. Department of Agronomy, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gogran, Golestan, Iran

    Benjamin Torabi, Afshin Soltani & Ebrahim Zeinali

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  1. Amir Dadrasi
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  2. Benjamin Torabi
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  4. Afshin Soltani
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Correspondence to Benjamin Torabi.

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Highlights

The significance of the paper to the readers of the Potato Research is:

1. Two maturity groups were determined with thermal units of 1100 and 1500°C day-1 in the important potato-producing provinces.

2. The evaluation results indicated that r, RMSE and CV for simulated tuber yield versus observed tuber yield were 0.80, 543 g m−2 and 14%, respectively

3. The SSM model can be proposed to estimate potential tuber yield, yield gap and the effects of climate change.

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Dadrasi, A., Torabi, B., Rahimi, A. et al. Parameterization and Evaluation of a Simple Simulation Model (SSM-iCrop2) for Potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) Growth and Yield in Iran. Potato Res. 63, 545–563 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11540-020-09456-y

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