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Redistribution of the lizardfish Harpadon nehereus in coastal waters of China due to climate change

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Abstract

Climate change has the potential to greatly alter species distributions and threatens biodiversity in marine ecosystems. Mapping changes in species distribution patterns under climate change will help facilitate management strategies to maintain ecosystem structure and function. The lizardfish Harpadon nehereus is an aggressive predator that has experienced rapid population growth along the coast of China in recent decades, compressing the ecological niches of other marine species and disrupting food webs. If this species’ range is shifting due to climate change, it could further impact the integrity of ecological communities. To map the distribution of H. nehereus, we developed an ensemble species distribution model and projected the present and future habitat suitability in Chinese coastal waters. Annual mean benthic water temperature was identified as the most important variable affecting the projected distribution of H. nehereus, followed by water depth and salinity. Currently suitable habitats are along the coast from Guangxi Province to the southern Jiangsu Province. As climate changes, the southern portion of its distribution is predicted to recede with habitat losses, and the overall suitable habitat will shift northward. To avoid the potential impacts of H. nehereus redistribution, precautionary management based on species distribution modeling would help to maintain healthy marine ecosystems in the newly invaded areas.

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Acknowledgements

This study was supported by the National Nature Science Foundation of China (Grant Number 41976091), the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhanjiang), Zhanjiang Bay Laboratory (Grant Number ZJW–2019–08), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant Number 202012023), and the National Program on Global Change and Air-Sea Interaction (Grant Number GASI-02-PAC-YDaut).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Fisheries College, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, 266003, China

    Linlong Wang, Li Lin & Bin Kang

  2. Arctic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, 001‐0021, Japan

    Zhixin Zhang

  3. Third Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Xiamen, 361005, China

    Longshan Lin

  4. Zhejiang Mariculture Research Institute, Wenzhou, 325000, China

    Xin Peng

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  1. Linlong Wang
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Contributions

Conceptualization, methodology, investigation, resources, writing – original draft, writing – review, and editing: LW. Data curation, investigation: ZZ, LL, XP, LL. Supervision, project administration, funding acquisition, conceptualization, methodology, resources, writing–review and editing: BK.

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Correspondence to Bin Kang.

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Wang, L., Zhang, Z., Lin, L. et al. Redistribution of the lizardfish Harpadon nehereus in coastal waters of China due to climate change. Hydrobiologia 848, 4919–4932 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-021-04682-y

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