Abstract
Equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) can cause rapid fluctuations in amplitude and phase of radio signals traversing the ionosphere and in turn produce serious ionospheric scintillations and disrupt satellite-based communication links. Whereas numerous studies on the generation and evolution of EPBs have been performed, the prediction of EPB and ionospheric scintillation occurrences still remains unresolved. The generalized Rayleigh–Taylor (R–T) instability has been widely accepted as the physical mechanism responsible for the generation of EPBs. But how the factors, which seed the development of R–T instability and control the dynamics of EPBs and resultant ionospheric scintillations, change on a short-term basis are not clear. In the East and Southeast Asia, there exist significant differences in the generation rates of EPBs at closely located stations, for example, Kototabang (0.2°S, 100.3°E) and Sanya (18.3°N, 109.6°E), indicating that the decorrelation distance of EPB generation is small (hundreds of kilometers) in longitude. In contrast, after the initial generation of EPBs at one longitude, they can drift zonally more than 2000 km and extend from the magnetic equator to middle latitudes of 40° or higher under some conditions. These features make it difficult to identify the possible seeding sources for the EPBs and to accurately predict their occurrence, especially when the onset locations of EPBs are far outside the observation sector. This paper presents a review on the current knowledge of EPBs and ionospheric scintillations in the East and Southeast Asia, including their generation mechanism and occurrence morphology, and discusses some unresolved issues related to their short-term forecasting, including (1) what factors control the generation of EPBs, its day-to-day variability and storm-time behavior, (2) what factors control the evolution and lifetime of EPBs, and (3) how to accurately determine ionospheric scintillation from EPB measurements. Special focus is given to the whole process of the EPB generation, development and disruption. The current observing capabilities, future new facilities and campaign observations in the East and Southeast Asia in helping to better understand the short-term variability of EPBs and ionospheric scintillations are outlined.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aa E, Huang W, Liu S et al (2015) A regional ionospheric TEC mapping technique over China and adjacent areas: GNSS data processing and DINEOF analysis. Sci China Inf Sci 58:1–11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11432-015-5399-2
Aa E, Huang W, Liu S et al (2018) Midlatitude plasma bubbles over China and adjacent areas during a magnetic storm on 8 September 2017. Space Weather 16:321–331. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017SW001776
Aarons J (1982) Global morphology of ionospheric scintillations. Proc IEEE 70:360–378. https://doi.org/10.1109/PROC.1982.12314
Abadi P, Saito S, Srigutomo W (2014) Low-latitude scintillation occurrences around the equatorial anomaly crest over Indonesia. Ann Geophys 32:7–17. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-32-7-2014
Abadi P, Otsuka Y, Supriadi S, Olla A (2020) Probability of ionospheric plasma bubble occurrence as a function of pre-reversal enhancement deduced from ionosondes in Southeast Asia. AIP Conf Proc 2226:050001. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0002321
Abdu MA (2001) Outstanding problems in the equatorial ionosphere thermosphere electrodynamics relevant to spread F. J Atmos Solar Terr Phys 63(9):869–884
Abdu MA (2012) Equatorial spread F/plasma bubble irregularities under storm time disturbance electric fields. J Atmos Solar Terr Phys 75–76:44–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2011.04.024
Abdu MA (2019) Day-to-day and short-term variabilities in the equatorial plasma bubble/spread F irregularity seeding and development. Prog Earth Planet Sci 6:11. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-019-0258-1
Abdu MA, Bittencourt JA, Batista IS (1981a) Magnetic declination control of the equatorial F region dynamo electric field development and spread F. J Geophys Res 86(A13):11443–11446
Abdu MA, Batista IS, Bittencourt JA (1981b) Some characteristics of spread F at the magnetic equatorial station Fortaleza. J Geophys Res 86(A8):6836–6842
Abdu MA, de Meiros RT, Sobrel JHA, Bittencourt JA (1983) Spread F plasma bubble vertical rise velocities determined from spaced ionosonde observations. J Geophys Res 88:9197–9204
Abdu MA et al (2008) Abnormal evening vertical plasma drift and effects on ESF and EIA over Brazil-South Atlantic sector during the 30 October 2003 superstorm. J Geophys Res 113:A07313. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JA012844
Abdu MA, Batista IS, Reinisch BW et al (2009) Conjugate Point Equatorial Experiment (COPEX) campaign in Brazil: electrodynamics highlights on spread F development conditions and day-to-day variability. J Geophys Res 114:A04308. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JA013749
Abdu MA, Batista IS, Reinisch BW et al (2012) Equatorial range spread F echoes from coherent backscatter, and irregularity growth processes, from conjugate point digital ionograms. Radio Sci 47:RS6003. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012rs005002
Abdu MA, de Souza JR, Kherani EA et al (2015a) Wave structure and polarization electric field development in the bottomside F layer leading to postsunset equatorial spread F. J Geophys Res 120:6930. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JA021235
Abdu MA, Brum CGM, Batista PP et al (2015b) Fast and ultrafast Kelvin wave modulations of the equatorial evening F region vertical drift and spread F development. Earth Planets Space 67:1. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-014-0143-5
Ajith KK, Tulasi Ram S, Carter BA et al (2018) Unseasonal development of post-sunset F-region irregularities over Southeast Asia on 28 July 2014: 2. Forcing from below? Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:60. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0218-1
Alfonsi L, Spogli L, Tong JR et al (2011) GPS scintillation and TEC gradients at equatorial latitudes in April 2006. Adv Space Res 47(10):1750–1757
Alfonsi L, Spogli L, Pezzopane M et al (2013) Comparative analysis of spread-F signature and GPS scintillation occurrences at Tucumán, Argentina. J Geophys Res Space Phys 118:4483–4502. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgra.50378
Alfonsi L, Wernik AW, Materassi M, Spogli L (2017) Modelling ionospheric scintillation under the crest of the equatorial anomaly. Adv Space Res 60(8):1698–1707
Alfonsi L et al (2018) Analysis of the regional ionosphere at low latitudes in support of the biomass ESA mission. IEEE Trans Geosci Remote Sens 56(11):6412–6422
Anderson D, Anghel A, Yumoto K et al (2002) Estimating daytime vertical ExB drift velocities in the equatorial F-region using ground-based magnetometer observations. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/2001gl014562
Balan N, Maruyama T, Patra AK et al (2018) A minimum in the latitude variation of spread-F at March equinox. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:27. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0180-y
Basu S, Basu S (1981) Equatorial scintillations—a review. J Atmos Terr Phys 43:473–489
Basu S, Mackenzie E, Basu S (1988) Ionospheric constraints on VHF/UHF communication links during solar maximum and minimum periods. Radio Sci 23:363–372
Bhattacharyya A (1990) Chaotic behaviour of ionospheric turbulence from scintillation measurements. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/GL017i006p00733
Bhattacharyya A, Basu S, Groves KM et al (2001) Dynamics of equatorial F region irregularities from spaced receiver scintillation observations. Geophys Res Lett 28(1):119–122
Bilitza D, Altadill D, Zhang Y et al (2014) The international reference ionosphere 2012—a model of international collaboration. J Space Weather Space Clim. https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2014004
Buhari SM, Abdullah M, Yokoyama T et al (2017) Climatology of successive equatorial plasma bubbles observed by GPS ROTI over Malaysia. J Geophys Res Space Phys 122:2174–2184. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA023202
Carrasco A, Batista I, Abdu M (2005) The pre reversal enhancement in the vertical drift for Fortaleza and the sporadic E layer. J Atmos Solar Terr Phys 67(16):1610–1617. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2005.07.015
Carter BA et al (2014) Geomagnetic control of equatorial plasma bubble activity modeled by the TIEGCM with Kp. Geophys Res Lett 41:5331–5339. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060953
Carter B, Ram S, Yizengaw E et al (2018) Unseasonal development of post-sunset F-region irregularities over Southeast Asia on 28 July 2014: 1. Forcing from above? Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0164-y
Cervera MA, Thomas RM, Groves KM et al (2001) Validation of WBMOD in the Southeast Asian region. Radio Sci 36:1559–1572
Cesaroni C, Spogli L, Alfonsi L et al (2015) L-band scintillations and calibrated total electron content gradients over Brazil during the last solar maximum. J Space Weather Space Clim 5:A36
Chau JL, Woodman RF (2001) Interferometric and dual beam observations of daytime spread-F-like irregularities over Jicamarca. Geophys Res Lett 28(18):3581–3584
Chen G et al (2017) Low-latitude daytime F region irregularities observed in two geomagnetic quiet days by the Hainan coherent scatter phased array radar (HCOPAR). J Geophys Res Space Phys 122:2645–2654. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA023628
Costa E, de Paula ER, Rezende LFC et al (2011) Equatorial scintillation calculations based on coherent scatter radar and C/NOFS data. Radio Sci 46:RS2011. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010rs004435
Dao E, Kelley MC, Hysell DL et al (2012) On the distribution of ion density depletion along magnetic field lines as deduced using C/NOFS. Radio Sci 47:RS3001. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011rs004967
Dao T, Otsuka Y, Shiokawa K et al (2017) Coordinated observations of postmidnight irregularities and thermospheric neutral winds and temperatures at low latitudes. J Geophys Res Space Phys. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JA024048
de Lima GRT, Stephany S, de Paula ER et al (2015) Prediction of the level of ionospheric scintillation at equatorial latitudes in Brazil using a neural network. Space Weather 13(8):446–457
Eccles JV, St Maurice JP, Schunk RW (2015) Mechanisms underlying the prereversal enhancement of the vertical plasma drift in the low-latitude ionosphere. J Geophys Res Space Phys 120:4950–4970. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA020664
Fejer BG, Scherliess L, dePaula ER (1999) Effects of the vertical plasma drift velocity on the generation and evolution of equatorial spread F. J Geophys Res 104(A9):19859–19869
Fejer BG, de Souza J, Santos AS, Costa Pereira AE (2005) Climatology of F region zonal plasma drifts over Jicamarca. J Geophys Res 110:A12310. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JA011324
Fritts DC et al (2008) Gravity wave and tidal influences on equatorial spread F based on observations during the Spread F Experiment (SpreadFEx). Ann Geophys 26:3235–3252
Fukao S, Tsuda T, Sato T et al (1985) The MU radar with an active phased array system: 2. In-house equipment. Radio Sci 20(6):1169–1176. https://doi.org/10.1029/RS020i006p01169
Fukao S, Ozawa Y, Yamamoto M, Tsunoda RT (2003) Altitude extended equatorial spread F observed near sunrise terminator over Indonesia. Geophys Res Lett 30(22):2137. https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL018383
Grzesiak M, Cesaroni C, Spogli L, De Franceschi G, Romano V (2018) Regional short-term forecasting of ionospheric TEC and scintillation. Radio Sci 53(10):1254–1268
Haerendel G (1974) Theory of equatorial spread F. Max-Planck Inst. für Extraterr. Phys, Munich
Hu L, Ning B, Li G, Li M (2014) Observations on the field-aligned irregularities using Sanya VHF radar: 4. June solstitial F-region echoes in solar minimum. Chin J Geophys 57(1):1–9. https://doi.org/10.6038/cjg20140101(in Chinese)
Huang C-S (2018) Effects of the postsunset vertical plasma drift on the generation of equatorial spread F. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:3. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0155-4
Huang C, Hairston MR (2015) The postsunset vertical plasma drift and its effects on the generation of equatorial plasma bubbles observed by the C/NOFS satellite. J Geophys Res Space Phys 120:2263–2275. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA020735
Huang CS, Kelley MC (1996) Nonlinear evolution of equatorial spread F 1. On the role of plasma instabilities and spatial resonance associated with gravity wave seeding. J Geophys Res 101(A1):283–292. https://doi.org/10.1029/95ja02211
Huang C-S, Roddy PA (2016) Effects of solar and geomagnetic activities on the zonal drift of equatorial plasma bubbles. J Geophys Res Space Phys 121:628–637. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JA021900
Huang C-S, de La Beaujardiere O, Pfaff RF et al (2010) Zonal drift of plasma particles inside equatorial plasma bubbles and its relation to the zonal drift of the bubble structure. J Geophys Res 115:A07316. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JA015324
Huang C-S, de La Beaujardiere O, Roddy PA et al (2012) Generation and characteristics of equatorial plasma bubbles detected by the C/NOFS satellite near the sunset terminator. J Geophys Res 117:A11313. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JA018163
Huang C-S, de La Beaujardiere O, Roddy PA et al (2014) Occurrence probability and amplitude of equatorial ionospheric irregularities associated with plasma bubbles during low and moderate solar activities (2008–2012). J Geophys Res Space Phys 119:1186–1199. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JA019212
Hysell DL, Kudeki E (2004) Collisional shear instability in the equatorial F region ionosphere. J Geophys Res 109:A11301. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004JA010636
Jones RM, Stephenson JJ (1975) A versatile three-dimensional ray tracing computer program for radio waves in the ionosphere. U.S. Department of Commerce, OT Report 1/10
Joshi LM, Patra AK, Pant TK, Rao SVB (2013) On the nature of low-latitude Es influencing the genesis of equatorial plasma bubble. J Geophys Res Space Phys 118:524–532. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JA018122
Joshi LM, Balwada S, Pant TK, Sumod SG (2015) Investigation on F layer height rise and equatorial spread F onset time: signature of standing large-scale wave. Space Weather 13:211–219. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014SW001129
Katamzi-Joseph ZT, Habarulema JB, Hernández-Pajares M (2017) Midlatitude postsunset plasma bubbles observed over Europe during intense storms in April 2000 and 2001. Space Weather 15:1177–1190. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017SW001674
Kelley MC (2009) The Earth’s ionosphere: plasma physics and electrodynamics. International geophysics series, vol 43. Academic Press, San Diego
Kelly MA, Comberiate JM, Miller ES, Paxton LJ (2014) Progress toward forecasting of space weather effects on UHF SATCOM after Operation Anaconda. Space Weather 12:601–611. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014SW001081
Kil H, Paxton LJ, Oh S-J (2009) Global bubble distribution seen from ROCSAT-1 and its association with the evening prereversal enhancement. J Geophys Res 114:A06307. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JA013672
Kil H, Paxton LJ, Lee WK, Jee G (2019) Daytime evolution of equatorial plasma bubbles observed by the first Republic of China satellite. Geophys Res Lett 46:5021–5027. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082903
Kintner PM, Kil H, Beach TL, de Paula ER (2001) Fading timescales associated with GPS signals and potential consequences. Radio Sci 36(4):731–743
Krall J, Huba JD, Ossakow SL, Joyce G (2010) Why do equatorial ionospheric bubbles stop rising? Geophys Res Lett 37:L09105. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043128
Krall J, Huba JD, Ossakow SL et al (2011) Modeling of equatorial plasma bubbles triggered by nonequatorial traveling ionospheric disturbances. Geophys Res Lett 38:L08103. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL046890
Kwak Y, Yang T, Kil H et al (2014) Characteristics of the E- and F-region field-aligned irregularities in middle latitudes: initial results obtained from the Daejeon 40.8 MHz VHF radar in South Korea. J Astron Space Sci 31(1):15–23
LaBelle J (1985) Mapping of electric field structures from the equatorial F region to the underlying E region. J Geophys Res 90:4341–4346. https://doi.org/10.1029/JA090iA05p04341
Lan J, Ning B, Li G et al (2018) Observation of short-period ionospheric disturbances using a portable digital ionosonde at Sanya. Radio Sci 53:1521–1532. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018RS006699
Li G, Ning B, Liu L et al (2007) The correlation of longitudinal/seasonal variations of evening equatorial pre-reversal drift and of plasma bubbles. Ann Geophys 25:2571–2578
Li G, Ning B, Zhao B et al (2009a) Characterizing the 10 November 2004 storm-time middle-latitude plasma bubble event in Southeast Asia using multi-instrument observations. J Geophys Res 114:A07304. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JA014057
Li G, Ning B, Liu L, Wan W, Liu JY (2009b) Effect of magnetic activity on plasma bubbles over equatorial and low-latitude regions in East Asia. Ann Geophys 27:303–312
Li G et al (2010) Longitudinal development of low-latitude ionospheric irregularities during the geomagnetic storms of July 2004. J Geophys Res 115:A04304. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JA014830
Li G, Ning B, Abdu MA et al (2011) On the occurrence of postmidnight equatorial F region irregularities during the June solstice. J Geophys Res 116:A04318. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JA016056
Li G, Ning B, Abdu MA, Wan W, Hu L (2012) Precursor signatures and evolution of post-sunset equatorial spread-F observed over Sanya. J Geophys Res 117:A08321. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JA017820
Li G, Ning B, Abdu MA et al (2013) Longitudinal characteristics of spread F backscatter plumes observed with the EAR and Sanya VHF radar in Southeast Asia. J Geophys Res Space Phys 118:6544–6557. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgra.50581
Li G, Otsuka Y, Ning B et al (2016) Enhanced ionospheric plasma bubble generation in more active ITCZ. Geophys Res Lett 43:2389–2395. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068145
Li G, Ning B, Wang C et al (2018a) Storm-enhanced development of postsunset equatorial plasma bubbles around the meridian 120°E/60°W on 7–8 September 2017. J Geophys Res Space Phys 123:7985–7998. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JA025871
Li G, Ning B, Abdu MA et al (2018b) Daytime F-region irregularity triggered by rocket-induced ionospheric hole over low latitude. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:11. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0172-y
Li G, Ning B, Zhao X et al (2019) Low latitude ionospheric TEC oscillations associated with periodic changes in IMF Bz polarity. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084428
Liang B-X, Li J, Ma S-Y (1994) Progress of ionospheric research in China. Chin J Geophys 37(S1):51–73
Liu K, Li G, Ning B, Hu L, Li H (2015) Statistical characteristics of low-latitude ionospheric scintillation over China. Adv Space Res 55(5):1356–1365. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2014.12.001
Liu K, Li G, Ning B (2019) Possible evidence for small-scale wave seeding of equatorial plasma bubbles. Adv Space Res 11(63):3612–3620. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2019.02.025
Ma G, Maruyama T (2006) A super bubble detected by dense GPS network at east Asian longitudes. Geophys Res Lett 33:L21103. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027512
Maruyama T (1988) A diagnostic model for equatorial spread F, 1, Model description and application to electric field and neutral wind effects. J Geophys Res 93(A12):14611–14622. https://doi.org/10.1029/JA093iA12p14611
Maruyama T, Kawamura M (2006) Equatorial ionospheric disturbance observed through a transequatorial HF propagation experiment. Ann Geophys 24:1401–1409. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-24-1401-2006
Maruyama T, Kawamura M, Saito S et al (2007) Low latitude ionosphere-thermosphere dynamics studies with ionosonde chain in Southeast Asia. Ann Geophys 25:1569–1577. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-25-1569-2007
Maruyama T, Saito S, Kawamura M et al (2009) Equinoctial asymmetry of a low-latitude ionosphere-thermosphere system and equatorial irregularities: evidence for meridional wind control. Ann Geophys 27:2027
McClure JP, Singh S, Bamgboye DK et al (1998) Occurrence of equatorial F region irregularities: evidence for tropospheric seeding. J Geophys Res 103:29119–29135
Mendillo M, Zesta E, Shodham S et al (2005) Observations and modeling of the coupled latitude–altitude patterns of equatorial plasma depletions. J Geophys Res 110:A09303. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JA011157
Meng X, Fang H, Li G, Weng L, Wang S (2019) Observations of evolution-type band-like structures of F region irregularities. J Geophys Res. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JA026091
Mohanty S, Singh G, Carrano CS, Sripathi S (2018) Ionospheric scintillation observation using space-borne synthetic aperture radar data. Radio Sci 53:1187–1202. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017RS006424
Muella MTAH, Duarte-Silva MH, Moraes AO et al (2017) Climatology and modeling of ionospheric scintillations and irregularity zonal drifts at the equatorial anomaly crest region. Ann Geophys 35:1201–1218. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-35-1201-2017
Ning B, Hu L, Li G et al (2012) The first time observations of low-latitude ionospheric irregularities by VHF radar in Hainan. Sci China Technol Sci. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11431-012-4800-2
Nishioka M, Otsuka Y, Shiokawa K et al (2012) On post-midnight field-aligned irregularities observed with a 30.8-MHz radar at a low latitude: comparison with F-layer altitude near the geomagnetic equator. J Geophys Res 117:A08337. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JA017692
Nishitani N, Ruohoniemi JM, Lester M et al (2019) Review of the accomplishments of mid-latitude Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN) HF radars. Prog Earth Planet Sci 6:27. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-019-0270-5
Otsuka Y (2018) Review of the generation mechanisms of post-midnight irregularities in the equatorial and low-latitude ionosphere. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:57. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0212-7
Otsuka Y, Shiokawa K, Ogawa T, Wilkinson P (2002a) Geomagnetic conjugate observations of equatorial airglow depletions. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002gl015347
Otsuka Y, Ogawa T, Saito A et al (2002b) A new technique for mapping of total electron content using GPS network in Japan. Earth Planets Space 54:63–70
Otsuka Y, Shiokawa K, Ogawa T (2006) Equatorial ionospheric scintillations and zonal irregularity drifts observed with closely-spaced GPS receivers in Indonesia. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 84A:343–351
Otsuka Y, Ogawa T, Effendy (2009) VHF radar observations of nighttime F-region field-aligned irregularities over Kototabang, Indonesia. Earth Planets Space 61(4):431–437
Patra AK, Phanikumar DV, Pant TK (2009) Gadanki radar observations of F region field-aligned irregularities during June solstice of solar minimum: first results and preliminary analysis. J Geophys Res 114:A12305. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JA014437
Patra AK, Taori A, Chaitanya PP, Sripathi S (2013) Direct detection of wavelike spatial structure at the bottom of the F region and its role on the formation of equatorial plasma bubble. J Geophys Res Space Phys 118:1196–1202. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgra.50148
Pi X, Mannucci AJ, Lindqwister UJ, Ho CM (1997) Monitoring of global ionospheric irregularities using the worldwide GPS network. Geophys Res Lett 24:2283–2286. https://doi.org/10.1029/97GL02273
Povero G et al (2017) Ionosphere monitoring in South East Asia in the ERICA study. Navig J Inst Navig 64:273–287
Prikryl P, Sreeja V, Aquino M, Jayachandran PT (2013) Probabilistic forecasting of ionospheric scintillation and GNSS receiver signal tracking performance at high latitudes. Ann Geophys 56(2):R0222. https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-6219
Rezende LFC, de Paula ER, Stephany S et al (2010) Survey and prediction of the ionospheric scintillation using data mining techniques. Space Weather 8:S06D09. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009sw000532
Rodrigues F, Hickey D, Zhan W et al (2018) Multi-instrumented observations of the equatorial F-region during June solstice: large-scale wave structures and spread-F. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:14. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0170-0
Sahai Y et al (2009) Effects observed in the ionospheric F region in the east Asian sector during the intense geomagnetic disturbances in the early part of November 2004. J Geophys Res 114:A00A18. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008ja013053
Saito S, Maruyama T (2006) Ionospheric height variations observed by ionosondes along magnetic meridian and plasma bubble onsets. Ann Geophys 24:2991–2996. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-24-2991-2006
Saito S, Maruyama T (2007) Large-scale longitudinal variation in ionospheric height and equatorial spread F occurrences observed by ionosondes. Geophys Res Lett 34:L16109. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL030618
Seo J, Walter T, Chiou T-Y, Enge P (2009) Characteristics of deep GPS signal fading due to ionospheric scintillation for aviation receiver design. Radio Sci 44:RS0A16. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008rs004077
Shi JK, Wang GJ, Reinisch BW et al (2011) Relationship between strong range spread F and ionospheric scintillations observed in Hainan from 2003 to 2007. J Geophys Res 116:A08306. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JA016806
Shinagawa H, Jin H, Miyoshi Y et al (2018) Daily and seasonal variations in the linear growth rate of the Rayleigh–Taylor instability in the ionosphere obtained with GAIA. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:16. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0175-8
Shiokawa K, Katoh Y, Satoh M et al (1999) Development of optical mesosphere thermosphere imagers (OMTI). Earth Planets Space 51:887–896
Shiokawa K, Otsuka Y, Ogawa T, Wilkinson P (2004) Time evolution of high-altitude plasma bubbles imaged at geomagnetic conjugate points. Ann Geophys 22:3137–3143. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-22-3137-2004
Smith J, Heelis RA (2017) Equatorial plasma bubbles: variations of occurrence and spatial scale in local time, longitude, season, and solar activity. J Geophys Res Space Phys 122:5743–5755. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JA024128
Sousasantos J, Kherani EA, Sobral JHA (2017) An alternative possibility to equatorial plasma bubble forecasting through mathematical modeling and Digisonde data. J Geophys Res Space Phys 122:2079–2088. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA023241
Spogli L et al (2016) Formation of ionospheric irregularities over Southeast Asia during the 2015 St. Patrick’s Day storm. J Geophys Res Space Phys 121:12211–12233. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016ja023222
Su SY, Liu CH, Ho HH, Chao CK (2006) Distribution characteristics of density irregularities: equatorial versus midlatitude regions. J Geophys Res 111:A06305. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JA011330A06305
Sultan PJ (1996) Linear theory and modeling of the Rayleigh–Taylor instability leading to the occurrence of equatorial spread F. J Geophys Res 101(A12):26875–26891. https://doi.org/10.1029/96JA00682
Sun L, Xu J, Wang W et al (2016) A statistical analysis of equatorial plasma bubble structures based on an all-sky airglow imager network in China. J Geophys Res Space Phys 121:11495–11517. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016ja022950
Sun W, Wu B, Wu Z, Hu L, Zhao X, Zheng J et al (2020) IONISE: an ionospheric observational network for irregularity and scintillation in East and Southeast Asia. J Geophys Res Space Phys 125:e2020JA028055. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA028055
Takahashi H et al (2009) Simultaneous observation of ionospheric plasma bubbles and mesospheric gravity waves during the SpreadFEx Campaign. Ann Geophys 27:1477–1487. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-27-1477-2009
Takahashi H et al (2010) Equatorial ionosphere bottom-type spread F observed by OI 630.0 nm airglow imaging. Geophys Res Lett 37:L03102. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009gl041802
Takahashi H et al (2018) Equatorial plasma bubble seeding by MSTIDs in the ionosphere. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:32. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0189-2
Thébault E et al (2015) International geomagnetic reference field: the 12th generation. Earth Planets Space 67(1):79. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-015-0228-9
Tran TL, Le HM, Amory-Mazaudier C, Fleury R (2017) Climatology of ionospheric scintillation over the Vietnam low-latitude region for the period 2006–2014. Adv Space Res 60(8):1657–1669
Tsuda T, Yamamoto M, Hashiguchi H et al (2016) A proposal on the study of solar-terrestrial coupling processes with atmospheric radars and ground-based observation network. Radio Sci 51(1587–1599):1588–1600. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016RS006035
Tsunoda RT (1981) Time evolution and dynamics of equatorial backscatter plumes, 1, growth phase. J Geophys Res 86:139
Tsunoda RT (1985) Control of the seasonal and longitudinal occurrence of equatorial scintillations by the longitudinal gradient in integrated E region Pedersen conductivity. J Geophys Res 90:447
Tsunoda RT (2005) On the enigma of day-to-day variability in equatorial spread F. Geophys Res Lett 32:L08103. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL022512
Tsunoda RT (2008) Satellite traces: an ionogram signature for large scale wave structure and a precursor for equatorial spread F. Geophys Res Lett 35:L20110. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL035706
Tsunoda RT, Bubenik DM, Thampi SV, Yamamoto M (2010) On large-scale wave structure and equatorial spread F without a post-sunset rise of the F layer. Geophys Res Lett 37:L07105. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL042357
Tsunoda RT, Saito S, Nguyen TT (2018) Post-sunset rise of equatorial F layer-or upwelling growth? Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:22. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0179-4
Tulasi Ram S, Yamamoto M, Tsunoda RT et al (2014) Characteristics of large-scale wave structure observed from African and Southeast Asian longitudinal sectors. J Geophys Res Space Phys. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JA019712
Tulasi Ram S, Ajith KK, Yokoyama T, Yamamoto M, Niranjan K (2017) Vertical rise velocity of equatorial plasma bubbles estimated from Equatorial Atmosphere Radar (EAR) observations and HIRB model simulations. J Geophys Res Space Phys 122:6584–6594. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JA024260
Wan X, Xiong C, Rodriguez-Zuluaga J et al (2018) Climatology of the occurrence rate and amplitudes of local time distinguished equatorial plasma depletions observed by swarm satellite. J Geophys Res Space Phys 123:3014–3026. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JA025072
Wang C (2010) New chains of space weather monitoring stations in China. Space Weather 8:S08001. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010SW000603
Wang Y, Li G, Ning B et al (2019) All-sky interferometric meteor radar observations of zonal structure and drifts of low-latitude ionospheric E region irregularities. Earth Space Sci 6:2653–2662. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EA000884
Wernik AW, Secan JA, Fremouw EJ (2003) Ionospheric irregularities and scintillation. Adv Space Res 31(4):971–981
Woodman RF (2009) Spread F- an old equatorial aeronomy problem finally resolved? Ann Geophys 27:1915–1934. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-27-1915-2009
Woodman RF, La Hoz C (1976) Radar observations of F region equatorial irregularities. J Geophys Res 81:5447–5466
Wu Q (2015) Longitudinal and seasonal variation of the equatorial flux tube integrated Rayleigh–Taylor instability growth rate. J Geophys Res Space Phys 120:7952–7957. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JA021553
Xiao S-G, Xiao Z, Shi J-K et al (2009) Observational facts in revealing a close relation between acoustic-gravity waves and midlatitude spread F. J Geophys Res 114:A01303. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JA013747
Xie HY, Li GZ, Ning BQ et al (2019) The possibility of using all-sky meteor radar to observe ionospheric E-region field-aligned irregularities. Sci China Technol Sci 62:1431–1437. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11431-018-9418-5
Xiong C, Stolle C, Lühr H (2016) The Swarm satellite loss of GPS signal and its relation to ionospheric plasma irregularities. Space Weather 14:563–577. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016SW001439
Xu Z-W, Wu J, Wu Z-S (2004) A survey of ionospheric effects on space based radar. Waves Random Media 14:S189–S273
Xu JS, Zhu J, Li L (2007) Effects of a major storm on GPS amplitude scintillations and phase fluctuations at Wuhan in China. Adv Space Res 39:1318–1324. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2007.03.004
Yamamoto M (2008) Digital beacon receiver for ionospheric TEC measurement developed with GNU Radio. Earth Planet Space 60:e21–e24. https://doi.org/10.1186/BF03353137
Yamamoto M, Otsuka Y, Jin H et al (2018) Relationship between day-to-day variability of equatorial plasma bubble activity from GPS scintillation and atmospheric properties from Ground-to-topside model of Atmosphere and Ionosphere for Aeronomy (GAIA) assimilation. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5:26. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-018-0184-7
Yang Z, Liu Z (2016) Observational study of ionospheric irregularities and GPS scintillations associated with the 2012 tropical cyclone Tembin passing Hong Kong. J Geophys Res Space Phys 121:4705–4717. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA022398
Yang Z, Liu Z (2018) Low-latitude ionospheric density irregularities and associated scintillations investigated by combining COSMIC RO and ground-based Global Positioning System observations over a solar active period. J Geophys Rese Space Phys 123:3998–4014. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JA024199
Yeh K, Liu C-H (1982) Radio wave scintillations in the ionosphere. Proc IEEE 70(4):324–360
Yizengaw E, Retterer PEE, Roddy P et al (2013) Post-midnight bubbles and scintillations in the quiet-time June solstice. Geophys Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058307
Yokoyama T (2017) A review on the numerical simulation of equatorial plasma bubbles toward scintillation evaluation and forecasting. Prog Earth Planet Sci 4:37. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0153-6
Yokoyama T, Fukao S, Yamamoto M (2004) Relationship of the onset of equatorial F region irregularities with the sunset terminator observed with the Equatorial Atmosphere Radar. Geophys Res Lett 31:L24804. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL021529
Yokoyama T, Yamamoto M, Otsuka Y et al (2011) On postmidnight low-latitude ionospheric irregularities during solar minimum: 1. Equatorial Atmosphere Radar and GPS-TEC observations in Indonesia. J Geophys Res 116:A11325. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011ja016797
Yumoto K (2001) Characteristics of Pi 2 magnetic pulsations observed at the CPMN stations: a review of the STEP results. Earth Planet Space 53:981–992. https://doi.org/10.1186/BF03351695
Zhang DH, Cai L, Hao YQ et al (2010) Solar cycle variation of the GPS cycle slip occurrence in China low-latitude region. Space Weather 8:S10D10. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010sw000583
Zhou C, Tang Q, Huang F et al (2018) The simultaneous observations of nighttime ionospheric E region irregularities and F region medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbances in midlatitude China. J Geophys Res Space Phys 123:5195–5209. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JA025352
Zhu Z, Lan J, Luo W et al (2015) Statistical characteristics of ionogram spread-F and satellite traces over a Chinese low-latitude station Sanya. Adv Space Res 56(9):1911–1921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2015.03.038
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41727803, 41422404), the Hong Kong Research Grants Council (RGC) (No. B-Q61L PolyU 152222/17E), the JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 15H05815 and 16H05736, the Solar-Terrestrial Environment Research Network (STERN) of Chinese Academy of Sciences, and the Chinese Meridian Project. The data used in this study are archived at the Geophysics Center, National Earth System Science Data Center at BNOSE, IGGCAS (http://wdc.geophys.ac.cn/). Authors are grateful to Charisma Victoria De La Cruz Cayapan (National Mapping And Resource Information Authority of the Republic of the Philippines) and Gabriella Povero (LINKS Foundation) for the station information of PAGeNet and IBISCO networks. During the peer review of this paper, the coauthor, very respected Professor Weixing Wan sadly passed away. We miss him dearly.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Weixing Wan—Deceased.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Li, G., Ning, B., Otsuka, Y. et al. Challenges to Equatorial Plasma Bubble and Ionospheric Scintillation Short-Term Forecasting and Future Aspects in East and Southeast Asia. Surv Geophys 42, 201–238 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-020-09613-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-020-09613-5