Abstract
The paper takes a first step in the direction of simultaneously incorporating sectoral and firm-level heterogeneity in the models of international trade and macroeconomics in a tractable manner: without increasing the complexity of numerical computations compared to the existing models with heterogeneity in one dimension. In a model with sectoral heterogeneity in trade costs and firm-level heterogeneity in productivity, introducing one source of heterogeneity at a time and piecing together the results implies that, on reduction in trade costs, more goods and more varieties of every tradable good become traded. In contrast, in the correctly specified model with simultaneous heterogeneity in both dimensions, while more goods do indeed become tradable, but for more than 50% of the previously traded goods, the number of traded varieties falls. The model also reconciles apparently contrasting predictions for the differences in the deviation of domestic price from the world price for the traded and nontraded goods when heterogeneity is introduced, one dimension at a time.
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Notes
On the contrary, if we considered a model with s sectors and f firms in each sector, equilibrium computation would require solving for \(s\times f\) unknowns. Even, if one allowed a continuum of firms (sectors), one would need to solve for s (f) unknowns.
Since world price of imported goods does not change, such aggregation of imported goods is appropriate in light of Hicks’ Substitution Theorem.
If a variety is exported, its domestic price equals the export price. See following discussion.
To see this, first recall that export price of all varieties of good i is \( p^{*}i^{\beta _{c}}/\alpha \). Next, from (14), we have that \(p_{i,j}<p_{i,k}\) . The fact that variety j is nontraded implies \(p_{i,j}>p^{*}i^{\beta _{c}}/\alpha \), and therefore, \(p_{i,k}>p^{*}i^{\beta _{c}}/\alpha \). Hence, variety k is nontraded as well.
If any variety \(j>0\) has positive price (which is guaranteed by the consumption optimization) then variety 0 has infinite domestic price and hence is never exported. Thus, \(n_{i}>0\).
As \(c_{i,j}\le y_{i,j}\), varieties \(j\in (n_{i},1]\) are indeed exported.
In equilibrium, the economy at least exports the most abundant variety of the good with the least trade cost. In a more general case, there will exist at least some good m such that marginal nontraded condition holds.
For this, use Eq. (14) to substitute for \(p_{i,j}\) in terms of \(p_{i,1}\) in Eq. (12) and integrate it to obtain an expression of \(p_{i}\) in terms of \( p_{i,1}\) and compare it with expression for \(p_{i}\) from (34) and (35) to conclude that \(p_{i,1}\) is independent of i for \(i<\bar{\imath }\). Eq (14) then implies that \(p_{i,j}\) is also independent of i for \(i<\bar{\imath }\).
For \(i<\bar{\imath }\), \(n_{i}=1\).
They cite empirical evidence on heterogeneity of trade costs both within and across sectors for this purpose.
One way to avoid this problem will be to ignore heterogeneity of trade costs between varieties of same good as in this paper. With this interpretation, their continuum ranks goods. But in that case, their choice of elasticity of substitution of 10 in the base case is quite high. A value of 10 is more reasonable for elasticity of substitution among different varieties of the same good, perhaps a value of 2 may be empirically more plausible for elasticity of substitution between different goods. However, in that case, the relative price of nontraded good becomes more volatile when compared to empirical evidence unless the elasticity of transport costs is adjusted upwards.
Recall that differences in endowment are similar to differences in productivity in a model with production.
Specifically, we have \(\widehat{1-n_{1}}=(\Delta \left( 1-n_{1}\right) )/(1-n_{1})=-\Delta n_{1}/(1-n_{1}).\)
It is different from external balance condition as some varieties are nontraded for \(i>\bar{\imath }\).
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Appendices
Appendix A: A Small Open Economy with Production
As shown by Bergin and Glick (2009) for heterogeneity in one dimension, introducing production does not involve any additional issues. Following them, the production function for good \(\left( i,j\right) \) is
The economy has a higher productivity of the variety with higher index j
With perfect competition, price equals marginal cost for each good \(\left( i,j\right) \) and wage (W) is equalized across goods and varieties, which gives
where \(e=a/\left( 1-a\right) \) is the elasticity of output with respect to price. Thus, for any two varieties j and k of a good i, we have
On the other hand, relating outputs and prices by consumer optimization gives
Equations (A.5) and (A.6) together yield
For goods with \(i\ge \bar{\imath }\), this implies
where
Proceeding as in the case with endowment, we get
The employment in production of traded and nontraded varieties of various goods is given by
Note that for \(i\le \bar{\imath }\), \(l_{i,T}=0\) as \(n_{i}=1.\) The labor market clearing condition is
which can be explicitly solved to give
Consumer’s optimization over different goods i and m, as before, gives
from which, for \(i\ge \bar{\imath }\), one obtains
which also defines \(\bar{\imath }\), when \(n_{i}\) is set to 1. The price of the marginal fully nontraded good is
and, for any other fully nontraded good \(i<\bar{\imath }\), consumer optimization, as before, implies
Solving for equilibrium again involves searching over one unknown. Given \( n_{1}\), (A.22) can be solved for \(n_{i}\) as function of i, and for \(\bar{ \imath }\). Given \(n_{i}\), (A.20) gives the corresponding value of wage rate W. Finally, the value of \(n_{1}\), the share of non-traded varieties for good 1, is determined by the external balance condition or the budget constraint.
For example, in the steady state case with current account in balance, we again have
where
and
Substituting for \(p_{i}c_{i}\) and \(p_{i}y_{i}\) from (A.26–A.27) into (A.25) and noting (i) that for \(i\ge \bar{\imath }\) (A.22) gives \(n_{i}\) as function of i and \(n_{1}\) and \(\bar{\imath }\) as a function of \(n_{1}\), and (ii) that (A.20) gives W as function of \(n_{i}\) (and hence \(n_{1}\)), one obtains one equation in one unknown, \(n_{1}\). In fact, for this steady state case, W drops out of the budget constraint. However, this will not be the case out of the steady state.
Appendix B: A Two Country Model
The two countries, Home and Foreign, are identical in all respects except that their endowment of different varieties of a good is anti-symmetric as mentioned in the paper
As usual, variables with asterisk denote quantities for the Foreign. Transport costs are as in the small economy case. The preferences for Home’s representative consumer are
where \(\gamma >1\) is the elasticity of substitution across goods produced by different industries. For every sector there exists a variety \(n_{i}\) such that Home imports varieties \(j\in [0,n_{i})\), exports varieties \( j\in (1-n_{i},1]\), and varieties \([n_{i},1-n_{i}]\) are nontraded. Thus, \( c_{i},\) the index of consumption of good i can be broken up as follows
where \(\phi >1\) is the elasticity of substitution among varieties of a good and
Once again, \(c_{i,M},\)\(c_{i,N}\) and \(c_{i,X}\) have the interpretation of ‘aggregate’ consumption of imported, nontraded and exported varieties of good i and, therefore, \(c_{i,M}/n_{i},\)\(c_{i,N}/(1-2n_{i})\) and \( c_{i,X}/n_{i}\) have the interpretation of ‘average’ consumption.
The consumption-based-price indices for the above defined consumption aggregates follow immediately
Here p is the aggregate price level in Home and \(p_{i}\) is the price index of good i. The price indices of imported, nontraded and traded varieties of good i, \(p_{i,M}\), \(p_{i,N}\) and \(p_{i,X}\) are
and
Using conditions from consumer optimization, as in the small open economy case, one can derive the prices of all varieties of good i in terms of the price \(p_{i,n_{i}}\) of the marginal imported variety, \(n_{i},\)
Recall, due to assumed symmetry marginal exported variety is \( 1-n_{i}\).
Similarly, consumption of varieties of good i is given by
where
From (B.14–B.21), it is easy to see that aggregate consumption of good i and its price are functions of \(n_{i}\) and \(p_{i,n_{i}}\) alone. Explicitly denoting this dependence, consumer optimization across goods with some varieties traded implies
A similar condition holds for ForeignFootnote 14
As in case of small open economy, there is a marginal fully nontraded good, \(\bar{\imath }\), with \(n_{\bar{\imath }}=0\), which solves
and for goods with \(i<\bar{\imath }\),
To begin solving for the equilibrium, first normalize \(p_{1,n_{1}}=1\). Also note that for the marginal imported variety for Home, \(n_{i},\)
In light of (B.26), given \(n_{1},\) (B.22–B.23) can be solved for \(n_{i}\) and \(p_{i,n_{i}}\) for every \(i>\bar{\imath }\) where value of \(\bar{\imath }\) follows from (B.24). Also, recall for \(i\le \bar{\imath }\), \(n_{i}=0\). The appropriate value of \(n_{1}\) is found by imposing the budget constraint which on simplification givesFootnote 15
Note that, again, to solve for the entire equilibrium, one needs to solve only one Eq. (B.27) in one unknown \(n_{1}\). However, if the two countries were dissimilar besides having anti-symmetric endowments, one will need to solve two equations in two unknowns, the marginal imported and exported variety of good 1 for Home, \(n_{1}^{m}\) and \(n_{1}^{x}\). In the symmetric case discussed here, \(n_{1}=n_{1}^{m}=1-n_{1}^{x}\).
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Atolia, M. Trade Costs and Endogenous Nontradability in a Model with Sectoral and Firm-Level Heterogeneity. Comput Econ 53, 709–742 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-017-9761-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-017-9761-x
Keywords
- Heterogeneity
- Curse of dimensionality
- Endogenous nontradability
- Endogenous tradability
- Trade costs
- Firm-level productivity differences