Abstract
Purpose
Serial longitudinal enumeration of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) has shown its prognostic value on progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage IV breast cancer. This study prospectively evaluated the role of CTCs as a prognostic marker during further progression of metastatic breast cancer (MBC).
Methods
Among 476 MBC patients recruited between 2010 and 2015, the 103 patients with a known CTC status at baseline (CTCBL) and within 4 weeks of tumor progression (CTCPD) were included. Progressive disease (PD) was defined according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST, version 1.1). Using the CellSearch method, < 5 and ≥ 5 CTCs per 7.5 ml blood were determined as negative and positive, respectively. A shift in CTC status from baseline to progression (\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-\) and vice versa) was considered as alternating KineticsBL–PD.
Results
Median follow-up was 29.9 [21.2, 40.0] months. CTCPD positivity (37%, n = 38) was associated with a significantly shorter OS than CTCPD negativity (8.0 [5.1, 10.9] vs 22.6 [15.3, 39.8] months; P < 0.001). Alternating KineticsBL–PD was observed in 24% of the patients. This significantly changed the OS prediction of \({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) patients (\({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-}\) vs \({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+}\), 11.4 [9.7, not available (NA)] vs. 7.6 [4.4, 11.5] months; P = 0.044) and \({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-\) patients (\({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+}\) vs. \({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-}\), 8.4 [4.0, NA] vs. 22.6 [18.9, NA] months, respectively; P < 0.001).
Prediction of survival was significantly improved (P = 0.002) by adding CTCPD status to clinicopathological characteristics and CTCBL status.
Conclusions
CTC status upon further disease progression is a prognostic factor that could significantly improve well-established models. Thus, it represents a potential additional instrument supporting treatment decision.
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Abbreviations
- MBC:
-
Metastatic breast cancer
- CTCs:
-
Circulating tumor cells
- PFS:
-
Progression-free survival
- OS:
-
Overall survival
- CEA:
-
Carcinoembryonic antigen
- CA15-3:
-
Cancer antigen 15-3
- iCTCs:
-
Intact circulating tumor cells
- aCTCs:
-
Apoptotic circulating tumor cells
- fCTCs:
-
Enucleated fragments of circulating tumor cells
- NCT:
-
National Center for Tumor Diseases
- REMARK:
-
Reporting recommendations for tumor marker prognostic studies
- RECIST:
-
Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors
- SD:
-
Stable disease
- PR:
-
Partial response
- CR:
-
Complete response
- PD:
-
Progressive disease
- BL:
-
Baseline/study inclusion
- CTCBL :
-
CTC status at baseline
- CTCPD :
-
CTC status within 4 weeks of tumor progression
- FDA:
-
US Food and Drug Administration
- anti-EpCAM:
-
Anti-epithelial cellular adhesion molecule antibody
- DAPI:
-
4,2-Diamidino-2-phenylindole
- \({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-/{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) :
-
Negative/positive CTC status at baseline
- \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-/{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+\) :
-
Negative/positive CTC status within 4 weeks of tumor progression
- iKineticsBL–PD :
-
Course of intact CTCs from BL to PD
- aKineticsBL–PD :
-
Course of apoptotic CTCs from BL to PD
- fKineticsBL–PD :
-
Course of enucleated fragments of CTCs from BL to PD
- \({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{-/+}\) :
-
\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+\)
- \({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{+/-}\) :
-
\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-\)
- \({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{+/+}\) :
-
\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+\)
- \({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{-/-}\) :
-
\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-\)
- r s :
-
Spearman correlation coefficient
- CI:
-
Confidence interval
- BIC:
-
Bayesian information criterion
- HR:
-
Hormone receptor or hazard ratio
- HER2:
-
Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2
- ER:
-
Estrogen receptor
- PR:
-
Progesterone receptor
- TNBC:
-
Triple-negative breast cancer
- ctDNA:
-
Circulating tumor DNA
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Acknowledgements
The authors thank all the patients who participated in this study. We gratefully acknowledge the medical and nursing staff at the National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT) Heidelberg and the University Hospital Heidelberg, especially Mirjam Becker, Bettina Mutz, and Martina Scharpff as well as Caroline Modugno for supporting patient recruitment, follow-up, and data collection. We further thank the team involved at University Medical Center Hamburg–Eppendorf for technical assistance during CTC measurement.
Funding
This work was supported by In-house Funds of the National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT, to AS, no grant number applies). AT has received funding from Swiss Bridge (no grant number applies), the Helmholtz Initiative on Personalized Medicine (iMED, no grant number applies), Europe’s Innovative Medicines Initiative (IMI) Consortium Cancer-ID (115749), the Cancer Core Europe/Transcan Breast Project (01KT1608), the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF N02/74829), and the Dietmar Hopp Foundation (no grant number applies).
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FS has served as a Consultant/Advisor for Roche and Novartis and has received Honoraria from Roche, Novartis, and Amgen. FM has served as a Consultant/Advisor for Roche, Pfizer, Novartis, AstraZeneca, and Tesara and has received travel, accommodations, and expenses from Roche, Novartis, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, and Honoraria from Roche, Pfizer, Novartis, Amgen, AstraZeneca, PharmaMar, Genomic Health, and Tesara. MW has provided Expert Testimony for Novartis, has received Honoraria from Novartis and Celgene and travel, accommodations, and expenses from Novartis. AS has received Honoraria from Roche, Celgene, AstraZeneca, Novartis, and Pfizer; research funding from Celgene; and travel, accommodations, and expenses from Roche and Celgene. All remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
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Jauch, S.F., Riethdorf, S., Sprick, M.R. et al. Sustained prognostic impact of circulating tumor cell status and kinetics upon further progression of metastatic breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat 173, 155–165 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-018-4972-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-018-4972-y