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Sustained prognostic impact of circulating tumor cell status and kinetics upon further progression of metastatic breast cancer

  • Clinical trial
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Abstract

Purpose

Serial longitudinal enumeration of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) has shown its prognostic value on progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage IV breast cancer. This study prospectively evaluated the role of CTCs as a prognostic marker during further progression of metastatic breast cancer (MBC).

Methods

Among 476 MBC patients recruited between 2010 and 2015, the 103 patients with a known CTC status at baseline (CTCBL) and within 4 weeks of tumor progression (CTCPD) were included. Progressive disease (PD) was defined according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST, version 1.1). Using the CellSearch method, < 5 and ≥ 5 CTCs per 7.5 ml blood were determined as negative and positive, respectively. A shift in CTC status from baseline to progression (\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-\) and vice versa) was considered as alternating KineticsBL–PD.

Results

Median follow-up was 29.9 [21.2, 40.0] months. CTCPD positivity (37%, n = 38) was associated with a significantly shorter OS than CTCPD negativity (8.0 [5.1, 10.9] vs 22.6 [15.3, 39.8] months; P < 0.001). Alternating KineticsBL–PD was observed in 24% of the patients. This significantly changed the OS prediction of \({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) patients (\({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-}\) vs \({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+}\), 11.4 [9.7, not available (NA)] vs. 7.6 [4.4, 11.5] months; P = 0.044) and \({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-\) patients (\({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+}\) vs. \({{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-}{{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-}\), 8.4 [4.0, NA] vs. 22.6 [18.9, NA] months, respectively; P < 0.001).

Prediction of survival was significantly improved (P = 0.002) by adding CTCPD status to clinicopathological characteristics and CTCBL status.

Conclusions

CTC status upon further disease progression is a prognostic factor that could significantly improve well-established models. Thus, it represents a potential additional instrument supporting treatment decision.

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Abbreviations

MBC:

Metastatic breast cancer

CTCs:

Circulating tumor cells

PFS:

Progression-free survival

OS:

Overall survival

CEA:

Carcinoembryonic antigen

CA15-3:

Cancer antigen 15-3

iCTCs:

Intact circulating tumor cells

aCTCs:

Apoptotic circulating tumor cells

fCTCs:

Enucleated fragments of circulating tumor cells

NCT:

National Center for Tumor Diseases

REMARK:

Reporting recommendations for tumor marker prognostic studies

RECIST:

Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors

SD:

Stable disease

PR:

Partial response

CR:

Complete response

PD:

Progressive disease

BL:

Baseline/study inclusion

CTCBL :

CTC status at baseline

CTCPD :

CTC status within 4 weeks of tumor progression

FDA:

US Food and Drug Administration

anti-EpCAM:

Anti-epithelial cellular adhesion molecule antibody

DAPI:

4,2-Diamidino-2-phenylindole

\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-/{\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) :

Negative/positive CTC status at baseline

\({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-/{\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+\) :

Negative/positive CTC status within 4 weeks of tumor progression

iKineticsBL–PD :

Course of intact CTCs from BL to PD

aKineticsBL–PD :

Course of apoptotic CTCs from BL to PD

fKineticsBL–PD :

Course of enucleated fragments of CTCs from BL to PD

\({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{-/+}\) :

\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+\)

\({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{+/-}\) :

\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-\)

\({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{+/+}\) :

\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^+\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^+\)

\({\text {Kinetics}_\text {BL-PD}}^{-/-}\) :

\({\text {CTC}_\text {BL}}^-\) to \({\text {CTC}_\text {PD}}^-\)

r s :

Spearman correlation coefficient

CI:

Confidence interval

BIC:

Bayesian information criterion

HR:

Hormone receptor or hazard ratio

HER2:

Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2

ER:

Estrogen receptor

PR:

Progesterone receptor

TNBC:

Triple-negative breast cancer

ctDNA:

Circulating tumor DNA

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Acknowledgements

The authors thank all the patients who participated in this study. We gratefully acknowledge the medical and nursing staff at the National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT) Heidelberg and the University Hospital Heidelberg, especially Mirjam Becker, Bettina Mutz, and Martina Scharpff as well as Caroline Modugno for supporting patient recruitment, follow-up, and data collection. We further thank the team involved at University Medical Center Hamburg–Eppendorf for technical assistance during CTC measurement.

Funding

This work was supported by In-house Funds of the National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT, to AS, no grant number applies). AT has received funding from Swiss Bridge (no grant number applies), the Helmholtz Initiative on Personalized Medicine (iMED, no grant number applies), Europe’s Innovative Medicines Initiative (IMI) Consortium Cancer-ID (115749), the Cancer Core Europe/Transcan Breast Project (01KT1608), the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF N02/74829), and the Dietmar Hopp Foundation (no grant number applies).

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Correspondence to Sarah F. Jauch.

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FS has served as a Consultant/Advisor for Roche and Novartis and has received Honoraria from Roche, Novartis, and Amgen. FM has served as a Consultant/Advisor for Roche, Pfizer, Novartis, AstraZeneca, and Tesara and has received travel, accommodations, and expenses from Roche, Novartis, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, and Honoraria from Roche, Pfizer, Novartis, Amgen, AstraZeneca, PharmaMar, Genomic Health, and Tesara. MW has provided Expert Testimony for Novartis, has received Honoraria from Novartis and Celgene and travel, accommodations, and expenses from Novartis. AS has received Honoraria from Roche, Celgene, AstraZeneca, Novartis, and Pfizer; research funding from Celgene; and travel, accommodations, and expenses from Roche and Celgene. All remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest.

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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the Ethical Standards of the Institutional and/or National Research Committee and with the 1964 Helsinki Declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. This article does not contain any studies with animals performed by any of the authors.

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Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

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Jauch, S.F., Riethdorf, S., Sprick, M.R. et al. Sustained prognostic impact of circulating tumor cell status and kinetics upon further progression of metastatic breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat 173, 155–165 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-018-4972-y

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