Abstract
Among the research hotspots in geological/geotechnical engineering, research on the prediction of soil liquefaction potential is still limited. In this research, several machine-learning methods were developed to evaluate the liquefaction potential of soil using random forest (RF) as the base model. The parameters of the RF model were optimized using two optimization algorithms, namely, the grey wolf optimizer (GWO) and genetic algorithm (GA). In the experiment, three in situ databases based on the standard penetration test (SPT), shear wave velocity test (SWVT) and cone penetration test (CPT) were considered and used to investigate the applicability of GA-RF and GWO-RF models. For comparison purposes, a single RF model was also constructed to predict soil liquefaction. The developed models in this study were evaluated using four metrics, i.e., accuracy, recall, precision and F1-score (F1). Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic and precision-recall curves were also proposed for evaluation purposes. The results showed that the developed GA-RF and GWO-RF models can improve the performance of the original classifier. By comparing the two hybrid models, it was found that the GWO-RF performs better on two databases, i.e., CPT and SPT, while in the case of the SWVT database, the GA-RF has better performance. Considering a variety of metrics, the two hybrid models can be employed as powerful techniques to estimate soil liquefaction potential and may be feasible tools to assist technicians in making correct decisions. By implementing sensitivity analysis, the impact of each model predictor on soil liquefaction was evaluated, and the most influential parameters were identified.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Ahmad M, Tang XW, Qiu JN, Ahmad F (2019) Evaluating seismic soil liquefaction potential using bayesian belief network and C4.5 decision tree approaches. Appl Sci-Basel 9(20):4226
Ahmad M, Tang XW, Qiu JN, Ahmad F (2019) Interpretive structural modeling and MICMAC analysis for identifying and benchmarking significant factors of seismic soil liquefaction. Appl Sci-Basel 9(2):233
Ahmad M, Tang X-W, Qiu J-N, Ahmad F (2021a) Evaluation of liquefaction-induced lateral displacement using Bayesian belief networks. Front Struct Civ Eng 15(1):80–98
Ahmad M, Tang X-W, Qiu J-N, Ahmad F, Gu W-J (2020a) A step forward towards a comprehensive framework for assessing liquefaction land damage vulnerability: exploration from historical data. Front Struct Civ Eng 14(6):1476–1491
Ahmad M, Tang X-W, Qiu J-N, Ahmad F, Gu W-J (2021b) Application of machine learning algorithms for the evaluation of seismic soil liquefaction potential. Front Struct Civ Eng 15(2):490–505
Ahmad M, Tang X-W, Qiu J-N, Gu W-J, Ahmad F (2020b) A hybrid approach for evaluating CPT-based seismic soil liquefaction potential using Bayesian belief networks. J Central South Univ 27(2):500–516
Ahmad M, Tang X, Ahmad F, Hadzima-Nyarko M, Nawaz A, Farooq A (2021c) Elucidation of seismic soil liquefaction significant factors. In Earthquakes.) IntechOpen
Alobaidi MH, Meguid MA, Chebana F (2019) Predicting seismic-induced liquefaction through ensemble learning frameworks. Sci Rep 9:12
Amirsadri S, Mousavirad SJ, Ebrahimpour-Komleh H (2018) A Levy flight-based grey wolf optimizer combined with back-propagation algorithm for neural network training. Neural Comput Appl 30(12):3707–3720
Andrus RD, Stokoe KH (2000) Liquefaction resistance of soils from shear-wave velocity. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 126(11):1015–1025
Armaghani DJ, Harandizadeh H, Momeni E, Maizir H, Zhou J (2021a) An optimized system of GMDH-ANFIS predictive model by ICA for estimating pile bearing capacity. Artif Intell Rev. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-021-10065-5
Armaghani DJ, Yagiz S, Mohamad ET, Zhou J (2021b) Prediction of TBM performance in fresh through weathered granite using empirical and statistical approaches. Tunnel Undergr Space Technol 118:104183
Belgiu M, Dragut L (2016) Random forest in remote sensing: a review of applications and future directions. ISPRS J Photogramm Rem Sens 114:24–31
Breiman L (1996) Bagging predictors. Mach Learn 24(2):123–140
Breiman L (2001) Random forests. Mach Learn 45(1):5–32
Bui XN, Nguyen H, Choi Y, Nguyen-Thoi T, Zhou J, Dou J (2020) Prediction of slope failure in open-pit mines using a novel hybrid artificial intelligence model based on decision tree and evolution algorithm. Sci Rep 10(1):1–17
Cai M, Hocine O, Mohammed AS, Chen X, Amar MN, Hasanipanah M (2021) Integrating the LSSVM and RBFNN models with three optimization algorithms to predict the soil liquefaction potential. Eng Comput. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00366-021-01392-w
Cetin KO, Seed RB, Der Kiureghian A, Tokimatsu K, Harder LF, Kayen RE, Moss RES (2004) Standard penetration test-based probabilistic and deterministic assessment of seismic soil liquefaction potential. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 130(12):1314–1340
Chen G, Kong M, Khoshnevisan S, Chen W, Li X (2019) Calibration of Vs-based empirical models for assessing soil liquefaction potential using expanded database. Bull Eng Geol Env 78(2):945–957
Chern SG, Lee CY (2009) Cpt-based simplified liquefaction assessment by using fuzzy-neural network. J Marine Sci Technol-Taiwan 17(4):326–331
Chern SG, Lee CY, Wang CC (2008) CPT-based liquefaction assessment by using fuzzy-neural network. J Marine Sci Technol-Taiwan 16(2):139–148
El Mohtar CS, Bobet A, Drnevich VP, Johnston CT, Santagata MC (2014) Pore pressure generation in sand with bentonite: from small strains to liquefaction. Geotechnique 64(2):108–117
Erzin Y, Ecemis N (2015) The use of neural networks for CPT-based liquefaction screening. Bull Eng Geol Env 74(1):103–116
Fang Q, Nguyen H, Bui XN, Nguyen-Thoi T, Zhou J (2021) Modeling of rock fragmentation by firefly optimization algorithm and boosted generalized additive model. Neural Comput Appl 33(8):3503–3519
Fawcett T (2006) An introduction to ROC analysis. Pattern Recogn Lett 27(8):861–874
Feng DC, Cetiner B, Kakavand MRA, Taciroglu E (2021) Data-driven approach to predict the plastic hinge length of reinforced concrete columns and its application. J Struct Eng 147(2):04020332
Feng DC, Liu ZT, Wang XD, Jiang ZM, Liang SX (2020) Failure mode classification and bearing capacity prediction for reinforced concrete columns based on ensemble machine learning algorithm. Adv Eng Inform 45:101126
Genuer R, Poggi J-M, Tuleau-Malot C (2010) Variable selection using random forests. Pattern Recogn Lett 31(14):2225–2236
Goh ATC (1996) Neural-network modeling of CPT seismic liquefaction data. J Geotech Engng, ASCE 122(1):70–73
Goh ATC (2002) Probabilistic neural network for evaluating seismic liquefaction potential. Can Geotech J 39(1):219–232
Goh ATC, Goh SH (2007) Support vector machines: their use in geotechnical engineering as illustrated using seismic liquefaction data. Comput Geotech 34(5):410–421
Golafshani EM, Behnood A, Arashpour M (2020) Predicting the compressive strength of normal and high-performance concretes using ANN and ANFIS hybridized with grey wolf optimizer. Constr Build Mater 232:117266
Guo H, Zhou J, Koopialipoor M, Armaghani DJ, Tahir MM (2021) Deep neural network and whale optimization algorithm to assess flyrock induced by blasting. Eng Comput 37(1):173–186
Hanna AM, Ural D, Saygili G (2007a) Evaluation of liquefaction potential of soil deposits using artificial neural networks. Eng Comput 24(1–2):5–16
Hanna AM, Ural D, Saygili G (2007b) Neural network model for liquefaction potential in soil deposits using Turkey and Taiwan earthquake data. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 27(6):521–540
Harris JR, Grunsky EC (2015) Predictive lithological mapping of Canada’s North using Random Forest classification applied to geophysical and geochemical data. Comput Geosci 80:9–25
Hassan H, Badr A, Abdelhalim MB (2015) Prediction of O-glycosylation sites using random forest and GA-Tuned PSO technique. Bioinform Biol Insights 9:103–109
Heidari T, Andrus RD (2012) Liquefaction potential assessment of Pleistocene beach sands near charleston, South Carolina. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 138(10):1196–1208
Ho T (1998) The random subspace method for constructing decision forests. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell 20(8):832–844
Hoang ND, Bui DT (2018) Predicting earthquake-induced soil liquefaction based on a hybridization of kernel Fisher discriminant analysis and a least squares support vector machine: a multi-dataset study. Bull Eng Geol Env 77(1):191–204
Holland JH (1975) Adaptation in natural and artificial systems. University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor
Hu J-L, Tang X-W, Qiu J-N (2015) A Bayesian network approach for predicting seismic liquefaction based on interpretive structural modeling. Georisk-Assessment Manage Risk Eng Syst Geohazards 9(3):200–217
Hu J-L, Tang X-W, Qiu J-N (2016) Assessment of seismic liquefaction potential based on Bayesian network constructed from domain knowledge and history data. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 89:49–60
Hu J, Liu H (2019a) Bayesian network models for probabilistic evaluation of earthquake-induced liquefaction based on CPT and V-s databases. Eng Geol 254:76–88
Hu J, Liu H (2019b) Identification of ground motion intensity measure and its application for predicting soil liquefaction potential based on the Bayesian network method. Eng Geol 248:34–49
Idriss IM, Boulanger RW (2006) Semi-empirical procedures for evaluating liquefaction potential during earthquakes. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 26(2–4):115–130
Juang CH, Chen CJ, Jiang T, Andrus RD (2000a) Risk-based liquefaction potential evaluation using standard penetration tests. Can Geotech J 37(6):1195–1208
Juang CH, Chen CJ, Tang WH, Rosowsky DV (2000b) CPT-based liquefaction analysis, Part 1: determination of limit state function. Geotechnique 50(5):583–592
Juang CH, Ching JY, Luo Z, Ku CS (2012) New models for probability of liquefaction using standard penetration tests based on an updated database of case histories. Eng Geol 133:85–93
Juang CH, Jiang T, Andrus RD (2002) Assessing probability-based methods for liquefaction potential evaluation. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 128(7):580–589
Juang CH, Yuan HM, Lee DH, Lin PS (2003) Simplified cone penetration test-based method for evaluating liquefaction resistance of soils. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 129(1):66–80
Kayen R, Moss RES, Thompson EM, Seed RB, Cetin KO, Kiureghian AD, Tanaka Y, Tokimatsu K (2013) Shear-wave velocity-based probabilistic and deterministic assessment of seismic soil liquefaction potential. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 139(3):407–419
Kohestani VR, Hassanlourad M, Ardakani A (2015) Evaluation of liquefaction potential based on CPT data using random forest. Nat Hazards 79(2):1079–1089
Lee C-Y, Chern S-G (2013) Application of a support vector machine for liquefaction assessment. J Mar Sci Technol 21(3):318–324
Le LT, Nguyen H, Dou J, Zhou J (2019a) A comparative study of PSO-ANN, GA-ANN, ICA-ANN, and ABC-ANN in estimating the heating load of buildings’ energy efficiency for smart city planning. Appl Sci 9(13):2630
Le LT, Nguyen H, Zhou J, Dou J, Moayedi H (2019b) Estimating the heating load of buildings for smart city planning using a novel artificial intelligence technique PSO-XGBoost. Appl Sci 9(13):2714
Li E, Yang F, Ren M, Zhang X, Zhou J, Khandelwal M (2021a) Prediction of blasting mean fragment size using support vector regression combined with five optimization algorithms. J Rock Mech Geotech Eng 13(6):1380–1397
Li E, Zhou J, Shi X, Armaghani DJ, Yu Z, Chen X, Huang P (2021b) Developing a hybrid model of salp swarm algorithm-based support vector machine to predict the strength of fiber-reinforced cemented paste backfill. Eng Comput 37(4):3519–3540
Lianyang Z (1998) Predicting seismic liquefaction potential of sands by optimum seeking method. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 17(4):219–226
Mahmood A, Tang X-W, Qiu J-N, Gu W-J, Feezan A (2020) A hybrid approach for evaluating CPT-based seismic soil liquefaction potential using Bayesian belief networks. J Central South Univ 27(2):500–516
Maroufpoor S, Maroufpoor E, Bozorg-Haddad O, Shiri J, Yaseen ZM (2019) Soil moisture simulation using hybrid artificial intelligent model: Hybridization of adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system with grey wolf optimizer algorithm. J Hydrol 575:544–556
Mirjalili S, Mirjalili SM, Lewis A (2014) Grey wolf optimizer. Adv Eng Softw 69:46–61
Moss RES, Seed RB, Kayen RE, Stewart JP, Kiureghian AD, Cetin KO (2006) CPT-based probabilistic and deterministic assessment of in situ seismic soil liquefaction potential. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 132(8):1032–1051
Pal M (2006) Support vector machines-based modelling of seismic liquefaction potential. Int J Numer Anal Meth Geomech 30(10):983–996
Qiu Y, Zhou J, Khandelwal M, Yang H, Yang P, Li C (2021) Performance evaluation of hybrid WOA-XGBoost GWO-XGBoost and BO-XGBoost models to predict blast-induced ground vibration. Eng Comput. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00366-021-01393-9
Rahbarzare A, Azadi M (2019) Improving prediction of soil liquefaction using hybrid optimization algorithms and a fuzzy support vector machine. Bull Eng Geol Env 78(7):4977–4987
Rezania M, Javadi AA, Giustolisi O (2010) Evaluation of liquefaction potential based on CPT results using evolutionary polynomial regression. Comput Geotech 37(1–2):82–92
Saito T, Rehmsmeier M (2015) The precision-recall plot is more informative than the ROC plot when evaluating binary classifiers on imbalanced datasets. Plos One 10(3):e0118432
Samui P (2007) Seismic liquefaction potential assessment by using relevance vector machine. Earthq Eng Eng Vib 6(4):331–336
Samui P, Hariharan R (2015) A unified classification model for modeling of seismic liquefaction potential of soil based on CPT. J Adv Res 6(4):587–592
Samui P, Karthikeyan J (2013) Determination of liquefaction susceptibility of soil: a least square support vector machine approach. Int J Numer Anal Meth Geomech 37(9):1154–1161
Samui P, Karthikeyan J (2014) The use of a relevance vector machine in predicting liquefaction potential. Indian Geotech J 44(4):458–467
Samui P, Kim D, Sitharam TG (2011) Support vector machine for evaluating seismic-liquefaction potential using shear wave velocity. J Appl Geophys 73(1):8–15
Samui P, Sitharam TG (2011) Machine learning modelling for predicting soil liquefaction susceptibility. Nat Hazard 11(1):1–9
Seed HB, Idriss IM (1971) Simplified procedure for evaluating soil liquefaction potential. J Soil Mech Found Eng Div ASCE 97(9):1249–1273
Seed HB, Idriss IM, Arango I (1983) Evaluation of liquefaction potential using field performance data. J Geotech Eng Div ASCE 109(3):458–482
Seo MW, Olson SM, Sun CG, Oh MH (2012) Evaluation of liquefaction potential index along western coast of south korea using SPT and CPT. Mar Georesour Geotechnol 30(3):234–260
Shahri AA (2016) Assessment and prediction of liquefaction potential using different artificial neural network models: a case study. Geotech Geol Eng 34(3):807–815
Sokolova M, Lapalme G (2009) A systematic analysis of performance measures for classification tasks. Inf Process Manage 45(4):427–437
Ter-Martirosyan A, Le Duc A (2020) Calculation of the settlement of pile foundations taking into account the influence of soil liquefaction. In XXIII International Scientific Conference on Advance in Civil Engineering: "Construction - The Formation of Living Environment" (FORM-2020), 23–26 Sept. 2020.) IOP Publishing, UK, vol. 869, pp. 052025 (9 pp.)
Wang JH, Yan WZ, Wan ZJ, Wang Y, Lv JK, Zhou AP (2020) Prediction of permeability using random forest and genetic algorithm model. Cmes-Computer Model Eng Sci 125(3):1135–1157
Xie C, Nguyen H, Bui XN, Choi Y, Zhou J, Nguyen-Trang T (2021) Predicting rock size distribution in mine blasting using various novel soft computing models based on meta-heuristics and machine learning algorithms. Geosci Front 12(3):101108
Xue XH, Xiao M (2016) Application of genetic algorithm-based support vector machines for prediction of soil liquefaction. Environ Earth Sci 75(10):11
Xue XH, Yang XG (2013) Application of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for prediction of soil liquefaction. Nat Hazards 67(2):901–917
Xue XH, Yang XG (2016) Seismic liquefaction potential assessed by support vector machines approaches. Bull Eng Geol Env 75(1):153–162
Ye X, Dong L-A, Ma D (2018) Loan evaluation in P2P lending based on random forest optimized by genetic algorithm with profit score. Electron Commer Res Appl 32:23–36
Yong W, Zhou J, Jahed Armaghani D, Tahir MM, Tarinejad R, Pham BT, Van Huynh V (2021) A new hybrid simulated annealing-based genetic programming technique to predict the ultimate bearing capacity of piles. Eng Comput 37(3):2111–2127
Youd TL, Idriss IM (2001) Liquefaction resistance of soils: Summary report from the 1996 NCEER and 1998 NCEER/NSF workshops on evaluation of liquefaction resistance of soils. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 127(4):297–313
Youd TL, Idriss IM, Andrus RD, Arango I, Castro G, Christian JT, Dobry R, Finn WDL, Harder LF, Hynes ME, Ishihara K, Koester JP, Liao SSC, Marcuson WF, Martin GR, Mitchell JK, Moriwaki Y, Power MS, Robertson PK, Seed RB, Stokoe KH (2001) Liquefaction resistance of soils: summary report from the 1996 NCEER and 1998 NCEER/NSF Workshops on evaluation of liquefaction resistance of soils. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 127(10):817–833
Yu Z, Shi XZ, Zhou J, Chen X, Miao XH, Teng B, Ipangelwa T (2020) Prediction of blast-induced rock movement during bench blasting: use of gray wolf optimizer and support vector regression. Nat Resour Res 29(2):843–865
Yu Z, Shi X, Miao X, Zhou J, Khandelwal M, Chen X, Qiu Y (2021) Intelligent modeling of blast-induced rock movement prediction using dimensional analysis and optimized artificial neural network technique. Int J Rock Mech Min Sci 143:104794
Zhang G, Robertson PK, Brachman RWI (2004) Estimating liquefaction-induced lateral displacements using the standard penetration test or cone penetration test. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng 130(8):861–871
Zhang JF, Wang YH (2021) An ensemble method to improve prediction of earthquake-induced soil liquefaction: a multi-dataset study. Neural Comput Appl 33(5):1533–1546
Zhang Y-G, Qiu J, Zhang Y, Wei Y (2021a) The adoption of ELM to the prediction of soil liquefaction based on CPT. Nat Hazards 107(1):539–549
Zhang Y, Qiu J, Zhang Y, Xie Y (2021b) The adoption of a support vector machine optimized by GWO to the prediction of soil liquefaction. Environ Earth Sci 80(9):1–9
Zhao Z, Duan W, Cai G (2021) A novel PSO-KELM based soil liquefaction potential evaluation system using CPT and Vs measurements. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 150:106930
Zhou J, Chen C, Armaghani DJ, Ma S (2020a) Developing a hybrid model of information entropy and unascertained measurement theory for evaluation of the excavatability in rock mass. Eng Comput. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00366-020-01053-4
Zhou J, Huang S, Wang M, Qiu Y (2021a) Performance evaluation of hybrid GA-SVM and GWO-SVM models to predict earthquake-induced liquefaction potential of soil: a multi-dataset investigation. Eng Comput. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00366-021-01418-3
Zhou J, Koopialipoor M, Li E, Armaghani DJ (2020b) Prediction of rockburst risk in underground projects developing a neuro-bee intelligent system. Bull Eng Geol Env 79(8):4265–4279
Zhou J, Li C, Arslan CA, Hasanipanah M, Bakhshandeh Amnieh H (2021b) Performance evaluation of hybrid FFA-ANFIS and GA-ANFIS models to predict particle size distribution of a muck-pile after blasting. Eng Comput 37(1):265–274
Zhou J, Li C, Koopialipoor M, Armaghani DJ, Pham BT (2021c) Development of a new methodology for estimating the amount of PPV in surface mines based on prediction and probabilistic models (GEP-MC). Int J Min Reclam Environ 35(1):48–68
Zhou J, Li E, Wei H, Li C, Qiao Q, Armaghani DJ (2019a) Random forests and cubist algorithms for predicting shear strengths of rockfill materials. Appl Sci-Basel. https://doi.org/10.3390/app9081621
Zhou J, Li E, Yang S, Wang M, Shi X, Yao S, Mitri HS (2019b) Slope stability prediction for circular mode failure using gradient boosting machine approach based on an updated database of case histories. Saf Sci 118:505–518
Zhou J, Li EM, Wang MZ, Chen X, Shi XZ, Jiang LS (2019c) Feasibility of stochastic gradient boosting approach for evaluating seismic liquefaction potential based on SPT and CPT case histories. J Perform Constr Facil 33(3):04019024
Zhou J, Li XB, Mitri HS (2015) Comparative performance of six supervised learning methods for the development of models of hard rock pillar stability prediction. Nat Hazards 79(1):291–316
Zhou J, Li XB, Mitri HS (2016) Classification of rockburst in underground projects: comparison of ten supervised learning methods. J Comput Civil Eng 30(5):04016003
Zhou J, Qiu Y, Armaghani DJ, Zhang W, Li C, Zhu S, Tarinejad R (2021d) Predicting TBM penetration rate in hard rock condition: a comparative study among six XGB-based metaheuristic techniques. Geosci Front 12(3):101091
Zhou J, Qiu Y, Zhu S, Armaghani DJ, Khandelwal M, Mohamadd ET (2020c) Estimation of the TBM advance rate under hard rock conditions using XGBoost and Bayesian optimization. Undergr Space. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.undsp.2020.05.008
Zhou J, Qiu Y, Zhu S, Armaghani DJ, Li C, Nguyen H, Yagiz S (2021e) Optimization of support vector machine through the use of metaheuristic algorithms in forecasting TBM advance rate. Eng Appl Artif Intell 97:104015
Zhou J, Qiu Y, Khandelwal M, Zhu S, Zhang X (2021f) Developing a hybrid model of Jaya algorithm-based extreme gradient boosting machine to estimate blast-induced ground vibrations. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences 145:104856.
Zhou J, Zhu S, Qiu Y, Armaghani DJ, Zhou A, Yong W (2022) Predicting tunnel squeezing using support vector machine optimized by whale optimization algorithm. Acta Geotechnica 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11440-022-01450-7
Acknowledgements
This research was funded by the Innovation‐Driven Project of Central South University (2020CX040), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 52004161 and 42177164), and the Program for Guangdong Introducing Innovative and Enterpreneurial Teams (No. 2019ZT08G315).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding authors
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Zhou, J., Huang, S., Zhou, T. et al. Employing a genetic algorithm and grey wolf optimizer for optimizing RF models to evaluate soil liquefaction potential. Artif Intell Rev 55, 5673–5705 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-022-10140-5
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-022-10140-5