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Influence of two types of ENSO events on tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific during the subsequent year: asymmetric response

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Abstract

The paper examines the relationships between ENSO events and tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) during the ENSO decaying phase of March to July [MAMJJ(1)]. It is shown that WNP TC response is asymmetric to ENSO warm and cold events during MAMJJ(1), associated with the asymmetric patterns of oceanic and atmospheric environmental variables. Eastern Pacific warm events correspond to a westward shift in TC genesis location and a significant decrease of the TC number in the southwest subregion of the WNP, which is consistent with unfavorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions for TC activity during MAMJJ(1). Correspondingly, there is a much less WNP TC number, a shorter TC duration, and a decreased tendency in all three primary TC tracks. During MAMJJ(1) of eastern Pacific cold events, an increased TC activity in the northeast subregion results in an enhanced TC genesis number in the WNP. Central Pacific ENSO events have little effect on WNP TC activity during MAMJJ(1), except that central Pacific warm events are unfavorable for TCs to form in the northwest subregion associated with atmospheric and oceanic conditions. The paper also compares and discusses the TC response to ENSO events during the ENSO developing year of March–July.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by grants from the National Key R&D Program of China (2016YFA0600402), National Natural Science Foundation of China (41731173), the Leading Talents of Guangdong Province Program, the Pioneer Hundred Talents Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the National Basic Research Program of China (2013CB430301), the National Program on Global Change and Air-Sea Interaction (GASI-IPOVAI-04), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41605066).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. CAS Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 10029, China

    Chunxiang Li & Tianbao Zhao

  2. State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 164 West Xingang Road, Guangzhou, 510301, China

    Chunzai Wang

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  1. Chunxiang Li
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  2. Chunzai Wang
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Correspondence to Chunzai Wang.

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Li, C., Wang, C. & Zhao, T. Influence of two types of ENSO events on tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific during the subsequent year: asymmetric response. Clim Dyn 51, 2637–2655 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4033-y

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