Abstract
The objective of this chapter is to evaluate flood risk in Dhaka with geospatial techniques. Multi-temporal flood data, derived from digital elevation model and satellite imagery, were used to determine flood hazards. Census and spatial databases were used to evaluate flood vulnerability and risk zoning at a community level. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and weighted linear combination (WLC) methods were used to determine flood vulnerability within a geographic information system framework. The results revealed that 45 % of the study area was estimated as highly hazardous, accounting for 7 % of the total study population. Around 40 % of the communities in the study area are highly vulnerable to flood, with 8 % being extremely vulnerable. Further, more than 22 % of the population are in areas that are at high to very high risk of flood. Forty per cent of housing units are located in the high- to very high-risk zone, and around half of these were katcha houses, built using fragile construction materials—28 % of the communities in Dhaka were at high risk of flood.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsNotes
- 1.
Lower poverty line is defined as those households whose total expenditure on food and nonfood combined is equal to or less than the food poverty line, that is, intake of <2,122 kcal per person/day (BBS et al. 2005).
References
Alam M, Rabbani MG (2007) Vulnerability and responses to climate change for Dhaka. Environ Urban 19:81–97
Ali MA, Seraj SM, Ahmed S (eds) (2002) Engineering concerns of flood. Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka
Azar D, Rain D (2007) Identifying population vulnerable to hydrological hazards in San Juan, Puerto Rico. GeoJournal 69(1–2):23–43
Bala SK, Islam AKMS, Chowdhury JU, Rahman MR, Haque MA, Khan MSA, Salehin M (2009) Performance of flood control works around Dhaka city during major floods in Bangladesh. A paper presented in the 2nd international conference on Water and Flood Management, Dhaka
Balica SF, Wright NG, van der Muelen F (2012) A flood vulnerability index for coastal cities and its use in assessing climate change impacts. Nat Hazards 64(1):73–105
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) (2012) Population and housing census – 2011, Community report, Dhaka, Narayanganj and Gazipur Zila. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Planning, Dhaka
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), The World Bank, World Food Programme (WFP) (2005) Bangladesh household income and expenditure survey 2005, Dhaka
Barua S, van Ast JA (2011) Towards interactive flood management in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Water Policy 13:693–716
Bendimerad F (2009) State-of-the-practice report on urban disaster risk management, Earthquakes and Megacities Initiative. Available at www.emi-megacities.org
Birkmann J (ed) (2006) Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards: towards disaster resilient society. United Nations University Press, Tokyo
Bizimana JP, Schilling M (2010) Geo-information technology for infrastructural flood risk analysis in unplanned settlement: a case study of informal settlement flood risk in the Nyabugogo flood plain, Kigali city, Rwanda. In: Showalter PS, Lu Y (eds) Geospatial techniques in urban hazard and disaster analysis. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 99–124
Bouwer LM (2011) Have disaster losses increased due to anthropogenic climate change? Bull Am Meteorol Soc 92(1):39–46
Burton I, Kates R, White GF (1993) The environment as hazard, 2nd edn. Guilford Press, New York
Cook BR (2010) Flood knowledge and management in Bangladesh: increasing diversity, complexity and uncertainty. Geogr Compass 4(7):750–767
Cutter SL (1996) Vulnerability to environmental hazards. Prog Hum Geogr 20(4):529–539
Cutter SL, Mitchell JT, Scott MS (2000) Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: a case study of Georgetown County, South Carolina. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 90(4):713–737
Cutter SL, Bryan J, Boruff W, Lynn S (2003) Social vulnerability to environmental hazards. Soc Sci Quart 84:242–261
Cutter SL, Barnes L, Berry M, Burton C, Evans E, Tate E, Webb J (2008) A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters. Glob Environ Chang 18(4):598–606
Cutter SL, Emrich CT, Webb JJ, Morath D (2009) Social vulnerability to climate variability hazards: a review of literature, Final report to Oxfam America. Available at http://adapt.oxfamamerica.org/resources/Literature_Review.pdf. Accessed 10 Jan 2012
Dewan AM (2013) Floods in a megacity: geospatial techniques in assessing hazards, risk and vulnerability. Springer, Dordrecht
Dewan AM, Corner RJ (2012) The impact of land use and land cover changes on land surface temperature in a rapidly urbanizing megacity. In: IGARSS 2012, Munich
Dewan AM, Yamaguchi Y (2008) Effects of land cover changes on flooding: example from Greater Dhaka of Bangladesh. Int J Geoinf 4(1):11–20
Dewan AM, Yeboah KK, Nishigaki M (2006a) Flood hazard delineation in Greater Dhaka, Bangladesh using integrated GIS and remote sensing approach. Geocarto Int 21(2):33–38
Dewan AM, Yeboah KK, Nishigaki M (2006b) Using synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data for mapping river water flooding in an urban landscape: a case study of Greater Dhaka, Bangladesh. Jpn J Hydrol Water Resour 19(1):44–54
Dewan AM, Islam MM, Kumamoto T, Nishigaki M (2007a) Evaluating flood hazard for land-use planning in Greater Dhaka of Bangladesh using remote sensing and GIS techniques. Water Resour Manag 21(9):2101–2116
Dewan AM, Kabir MH, Islam MM, Kumamoto T, Nishigaki M (2007b) Delineating flood risk areas in Greater Dhaka of Bangladesh using Geoinformatics. Georisk Assess Manag Risk Eng Syst Geohazards 1(4):190–201
Disaster Management Bureau (DMB) (1998) Report on Bangladesh flood 1998: chronology, damages and responses. DMB, Dhaka
Disaster Management Bureau (DMB) (2007) Consolidated damage and assessment, lessons learnt from the flood 2007 and future action plan. DMB, Dhaka
Eakin H, Luers A (2006) Assessing the vulnerability of social-environmental systems. Annu Rev Environ Resour 31:365–394
EM-DAT (2012) Global flood records, 1950–2011, Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), Universite catholique de Louvian, Belgium. www.emdat.be
Faisal IM, Kabir MR, Nishat A (1999) Non-structural flood mitigation measures for Dhaka city. Urban Water 1(2):145–153
Faisal IM, Kabir MR, Nishat A (2003) The disastrous floods of 1998 and long term mitigation strategies for Dhaka City. Nat Hazards 28(1):85–99
Fekete A, Damm M, Birkmann J (2010) Scales as a challenge for vulnerability assessment. Nat Hazards 55(3):729–747
Flood Action Plan (FAP) 8A (1991) Master plan study for Greater Dhaka protection project. Japan International Cooperation Agency, Dhaka
Gillespie TW, Chu J, Elizabeth FA, Thomas D (2007) Assessment and prediction of natural hazards from satellite imagery. Prog Phys Geogr 31(5):459–470
Government of Bangladesh (GoB) (2005) National adaptation programme of action. Ministry of Environment and Forest, Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka
Haque E, Zaman M (1994) Vulnerability and responses to riverine hazards in Bangladesh: a critique of flood control and mitigation approaches. In: Varley A (ed) Disasters, development and environment. Wiley, London, pp 65–79
Hewitt K (1997) Regions of risk: a geographical introduction to disasters. Longman, Harlow
Hirabayashi Y, Kanae S (2009) First estimate of the future global population at risk of flooding. Hydrol Res Lett 3:6–9
Hoque R, Nakayama D, Matsuyama H, Matsumoto J (2011) Flood monitoring, mapping and assessing capabilities using RADARSAT remote sensing, GIS and ground data for Bangladesh. Nat Hazards 57(2):525–548
Hossain S (2008) Rapid urban growth and poverty in Dhaka City. Bangladesh e-J Sociol 5:1–24
Huq S (1999) Environmental hazards in Dhaka. In: Mitchell JK (ed) Crucibles of hazards: mega-cities and disasters in transition. United Nations University, Tokyo, pp 119–137
Hye A (2000) Effects on livelihood. In: Nishat A, Reazuddin R, Amin R, Khan AR (eds) The 1998 flood: impact on environment of Dhaka City. Department of Environment, Dhaka, pp 201–216
International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UN/ISDR) (2004) Living with risk: a global review of disaster reduction initiatives. United Nations Publications, Geneva
Islam MM, Sado K (2000a) Development of flood hazard maps of Bangladesh using NOAA-AVHRR images with GIS. Hydrol Sci J 45:337–355
Islam MM, Sado K (2000b) Satellite remote sensing data analysis for flood damage zoning with GIS for flood management. Annu J Hydraul Eng (JSCE) 44:301–306
Islam N, Sultana NY (2006) The status of women in Bangladesh: is the situation really encouraging. Res J Soc Sci 1:56–65
Jakobsen F, Hoque AKMZ, Paudyal GN, Bhuiyan MS (2005) Evaluation of the short-term forcing the monsoon river floods in Bangladesh. Water Int 30(3):389–399
Jha AK, Bloch R, Lamond J (2012) Cities and flooding: a guide to integrated urban flood risk management for the 21st century. The World Bank, Washington, DC
Kasperson RE (1986) Six propositions on public participation and their relevance for risk communication. Risk Anal 6(3):275–281
Kazmierczak A, Cavan G (2011) Surface water flooding risk in urban communities: analysis of vulnerability, hazard and exposure. Landsc Urban Plan 103(2):185–197
Kienberger S (2012) Spatial modelling of social and economic vulnerability to floods at the district level of Buzi, Mozambique. Nat Hazards 64(3):2001–2019
Kiunsi RB, Mechack V, Uhinga G, Mayunga J, Mulenge F, Kabali C, Sigalla N, Bilia M (2006) Disaster vulnerability assessment: the Tanzania experience. In: Birkmann J (ed) Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards: towards disaster resilient society. United Nations University Press, Tokyo, pp 227–245
Kundzewicz ZW, Hirabayashi Y, Kanae S (2010) River floods in the changing climate – observations and projections. Water Resour Manag 24(11):2633–2646
Lankao PR, Qin H (2011) Conceptualizing urban vulnerability to global change and environmental change. Curr Option Environ Sustain 3(3):142–149
Maantay J, Maroko A, Culp G (2010) In: Showalter PS, Lu Y (eds) Geospatial techniques in urban hazard and disaster analysis. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 71–97
Mahmud W (2004) The impact of floods on the economy of Bangladesh. In: Siddiqui KU, Hossain ANH (eds) Options for flood risk and damage reduction in Bangladesh. The University Press Limited, Dhaka, pp 81–92
Malczewski J (2000) On the use of weighted linear combination method in GIS: common and best practice approaches. Trans GIS 4:5–22
Meyer V, Scheuer S, Haase D (2009) A multicriteria approach for flood risk mapping exemplified at the Mulde river, Germany. Nat Hazards 48(1):17–39
Milly PCD, Betancourt J, Falkenmark M, Hirsch RM, Kundzewicz ZW, Lettenmaier DP, Stouffer RJ (2008) Stationarity is dead: whither water management? Science 319:573–574
Mirza MMQ (2003) Three recent extreme floods in Bangladesh: a hydro-meteorological analysis. Nat Hazards 28(1):35–64
Mirza MMQ (2011) Climate change, flooding in South Asia and implications. Reg Environ Chang 1(supp):95–107
Mitchell JK, Devine N, Jagger K (1989) A contextual model of natural hazards. Geogr Rev 79(4):391–409
Nishat A, Reazuddin R, Amin R, Khan AR (eds) (2000) The 1998 flood: impact of environment of Dhaka City. Department of Environment, Dhaka
Pandey AC, Singh SK, Nathawat MS (2010) Waterlogging and flood hazards vulnerability and risk assessment in Indo Gangetic plain. Nat Hazards 55(2):273–289
Paul BK (1997) Flood research in Bangladesh in retrospect and prospect: a review. Geoforum 28:121–131
Pavri F (2010) Urban expansion and sea-level rise related flood vulnerability for Mumbai (Bombay), India using remote sensed data. In: Showalter PS, Lu Y (eds) Geospatial techniques in urban hazard and disaster analysis. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 31–49
Pelling M (2003) The vulnerability of cities. Earthscan, London
PreventionWeb (2011) UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction, Geneva, Switzerland. Viewed 1 Apr 2012. www.preventionweb.net
Rabbani G (2009) Environmental risks in Dhaka: present initiatives and the future improvements. In: Shaw R, Srinvas H, Sharma A (eds) Urban risk reduction: an Asian perspective, vol 1, Community, environmental and disaster risk management. Emerald Group Publishing, Bingley, pp 319–338
Rahman M, Rahman M, Hassan D (2002) Assessment of water quality in flood affected areas of Dhaka City. In: Ali MA, Seraj SM, Ahmad S (eds) Engineering concerns of flood. Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, pp 35–47
Rahman R, Haque A, Khan SA, Salehin M, Bala SK (2005) Investigation of hydrological aspects of flood—2004 with special emphasis on Dhaka City. Final report. Institute of Water and Flood Management, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka
Ramanathan R (2001) A note on the use of the analytic hierarchy process for environmental impact assessment. J Environ Manage 63:27–35
Rashed T, Weeks J (2003) Assessing vulnerability to earthquake hazards through spatial multicriteria analysis of urban areas. Int J Geogr Inf Sci 17(6):547–576
Roy M (2009) Planning for sustainable urbanization in fast growing cities: mitigation and adaptation issues addresses in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Habitat Int 33(3):276–286
Saaty TL (1980) The analytical hierarchy process. McGraw-Hill, New York
Saaty TL (2000) Fundamentals of decision making and priority theory with the analytic hierarchy process. RWS Publications, Pittsburgh
Sanyal J, Lu XX (2004) Application of remote sensing in flood management with special reference to monsoon Asia: a review. Nat Hazards 33:283–301
Sanyal J, Lu XX (2006) GIS-based flood hazard mapping at different administrative scales: a case study in Gangetic West Bengal, India. Singapore J Trop Geogr 27:207–220
Schanze J (2006) Flood risk management – a basic framework. In: Schanze J, Zeman E, Marsalek J (eds) Flood risk management – hazards, vulnerability and mitigation measures. Springer, Ostrov, pp 149–167
Senga R (2004) Natural and unnatural disasters: the relative vulnerabilities of Southeast Asian megacities to climate change. World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF), Switzerland. www2.lse.ac.uk/IDEAS/publications/reports/pdf/SR004/WWF.pdf. Accessed 15 Feb 2012
Showalter PS, Lu Y (eds) (2010) Geospatial techniques in urban hazards and disaster analysis, vol 2, Geotechnologies and the environment. Springer, Dordrecht
Siddiqui KU, Hossain ANHA (2004) Options for flood risk and damage reduction in Bangladesh. The University Press Limited, Dhaka
Sinha R, Bapalu GV, Singh LK, Rath B (2008) Flood risk analysis in the Kosi river basin, North Bihar using multi-parametric approach of analytical hierarchy process (AHP). J Indian Soc Remote Sens 36(4):293–307
Smith K (2001) Environmental hazards: assessing risk and reducing disaster, 3rd edn. Routledge, London
Stalenberg B, Vrijling H (2009) The battle of Tokyo and Dhaka against floods. Built Environ 35(4):471–491
Suriya S, Mudgal BV (2012) Impact of urbanization on flooding: the Thirusoolam sub watershed – a case study. J Hydrol 412–413:210–219
Tawhid KG (2004) Causes and effects of water logging in Dhaka city, Bangladesh. TRITA-LWR master thesis, Department of Land and Water Resource Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm
Tingsanchali TA, Karim MF (2005) Flood hazard and risk analysis in the southwest region of Bangladesh. Hydrol Process 19(10):2055–2069
UN-HABITAT (2010) Monsoon flood 2010 Pakistan: rapid technical assessment of damage and needs for reconstruction in housing sector, Islamabad
van der Sande CJ, de Jong SM, de Roo APJ (2003) A segmentation and classification of IKONOS-2 imagery for land cover mapping to assist flood risk and flood damage assessment. Int J Appl Earth Obs Geoinf 4(3):217–229
Wang Y, Li Z, Tang Z, Zeng G (2011) A GIS-based spatial multi-criteria approach for flood risk assessment in Dongting lake region, Hunan, Central China. Water Resour Manag 25(13):3465–3484
Wisner B, Blaikie P, Cannon T, Davis I (2004) At risk: natural hazard, people’s vulnerability and disasters, 2nd edn. Routledge, Abingdon
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) (1999) Comprehensive risk assessment for natural hazards, WMO/TD no 955. WMO, Geneva
Wu SY, Yarnal B, Fisher A (2002) Vulnerability of coastal communities to sea-level rise: a case study of Cape May County, New Jersey, USA. Clim Res 22:255–270
Yalcin G, Akyurek Z (2004) Analysing flood vulnerable areas with multicriteria evaluation. Available at: http://www.isprs.org/proceedings/XXXV/congress/comm2/papers/154.pdf
Zheng N, Takara K, Yamashiki Y, Tachikawa Y, (2009) Large scale quantitative vulnerability analysis for regional flood hazard, Annual of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, B, pp 57–65
Acknowledgement
Akiko Masuya acknowledges her gratitude to Dr. Ashraf M. Dewan for basic data preparation and supervision of this work whilst studying for her MSc at Curtin University.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2014 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Masuya, A. (2014). Flood Vulnerability and Risk Assessment with Spatial Multi-criteria Evaluation. In: Dewan, A., Corner, R. (eds) Dhaka Megacity. Springer Geography. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6735-5_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6735-5_10
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-94-007-6734-8
Online ISBN: 978-94-007-6735-5
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)