Abstract
This chapter focuses on the hypothetical implications of the uncertain outcomes of a long-term transformative change that will achieve sustainable development through a process of a sustainability transition. It addresses the question of whether a long-term transformative change might result in a more peaceful environment. The chapter is structured in ten parts. After a brief introduction, it discusses sustainable development as a goal and sustainability transition as a transformative process. It reviews the scientific debate on sustainability transition and its impact on the report A Social Contract for Sustainability, examines the climate and energy policy initiatives of the European Union, and analyses policy debates on climate and energy policy issues. The argument takes up the consequences of the human intervention in the earth system, with which we are threatening the survival of humankind. The sustainable ‘peace concept’ is briefly conceptualized for the Anthropocene; its realization requires major innovations in economic and environment policy. It points up contested visions, strategies and policies aiming at a sustainable peace with the goal of avoiding the security implications of climate change and countering resource conflicts, and it concludes with a discussion of the need to develop strategies and policies for sustainability transition that will lead to a ‘sustainable peace’ in the Anthropocene.
The author is grateful for critical comments and valuable suggestions to Juliet Bennett, University of Sydney, Australia; Dr. Carl Bruch, Washington DC, USA; Prof. Dr. Simon Dalby, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, Canada; Prof. Dr. Kalevi Holsti, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada, and Prof. Dr. Ken Conca, American University, Washington DC, USA.
PD Dr. Hans Günter Brauch, chairman, Peace Research and European Security Studies (AFES-PRESS), Mosbach, Germany; email: brauch@afes-press.de.
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- 1.
See the text of the final document at: http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-summit/2015/06/7-8/.
- 2.
These countries are identified in Table 7.1.
- 3.
United Nations, 1987: “Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development” (New York: UN).
- 4.
See at: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/ and at: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/futurewewant.html (22 January 2015); see: “Post-2015 Development Agenda” with access to all adopted documents at: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/post2015.
- 5.
See at: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/rio20 (22 January 2015); see: “Post-2015 Development Agenda” with access to all adopted documents at: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/post2015 (20 August 2015), including: “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”.
- 6.
See at: http://www.transitionsnetwork.org/ (22 January 2015).
- 7.
- 8.
See the opening page of the STRN website, at: http://www.transitionsnetwork.org/ (22 January 2015).
- 9.
The Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions (EIST) journal “offers a platform for reporting studies of innovations and socio-economic transitions to enhance an environmentally sustainable economy and thus solve structural resource scarcity and environmental problems, notably related to fossil energy use and climate change.” See the EIST journal; at: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/environmental-innovation-and-societal-transitions/.
- 10.
- 11.
See the G8 Chair’s summary, Heiligendamm, 8 June 2007: at: http://www.g-8.de/Content/EN/Artikel/__g8-summit/anlagen/chairs-summary,templateId=raw,property=publicationFile.pdf/chairs-summary.pdf: “In setting a global goal for emissions reductions in the process we have agreed in Heiligendamm … [on] at least a halving of global emissions by 2050. … Technology, energy efficiency and market mechanisms … are key to mastering climate change as well as enhancing energy security. … We agreed that energy efficiency and technology cooperation will be crucial elements of our follow-up dialogue.” See the final declarations of the G7 summit in Elmau at: http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-summit/2015/06/7-8/.
- 12.
See the text documentation from the symposium of 9 May 2012 in Berlin; at: http://www.wbgu.de/fileadmin/templates/dateien/symposium2012/Documentation_Symposium.pdf (23 August 2015).
- 13.
See “White paper 2011: Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area—Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system”; at: http://ec.europa.eu/transport/themes/strategies/2011_white_paper_en.htm.
- 14.
European Commission, Climate Action, “Roadmap for moving to a low-carbon economy in 2050”; at: http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/strategies/2050/index_en.htm.
- 15.
See IASA: “The EU Roadmap for Moving to a Low Carbon Economy in 2050”; at: https://www.kowi.de/Portaldata/2/Resources/fp/Report-Towards-a-green-economy-in-Europe.pdf.
- 16.
See at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ALL/?uri=CELEX:52011DC0112 (23 August 2015).
- 17.
See “Summary of the Impact Assessment” (Brussels, 8.3.2011, SEC (2011) 289 final): 6.
- 18.
See: “2030 framework for climate and energy policies” (22 January 2015).
- 19.
See: “Camp David Declaration”, Camp David, Maryland, United States, 18–19 May 2012; at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/05/19/camp-david-declaration.
- 20.
For “Energy transition in Germany”, see at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_transition_in_Germany (25 January 2015), with additional updated sources.
- 21.
HM Government: The UK Low Carbon Transition Plan—National strategy for climate and energy (London: HM Government, 15 July 2009).
- 22.
France’s new energy law of July 2015 plans to cut the nuclear share of electricity from 75 to 50 % by 2025, while “energy consumption is to be slashed 20 % from 2012 levels by 2030, with renewables increasing to 32 % of the mix”; see at: http://www.rtcc.org/2015/07/23/france-moves-away-from-nuclear-with-clean-energy-law/. (23 August 2015).
- 23.
On 3 August 2015, President Barack Obama announced that his “Clean Power Plan is to cut greenhouse gas emissions from US power stations by nearly a third within 15 years” and “to cut carbon emissions from the power sector by 32 % by 2030, compared with 2005 levels”; at: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-33753067; see “Fact Sheet: President Obama to Announce Historic Carbon Pollution Standards for Power Plants”; at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/08/03/fact-sheet-president-obama-announce-historic-carbon-pollution-standards (23 August 2015).
- 24.
See “Brazil backs long term zero carbon goal as Merkel visits”; at: http://www.climatechangenews.com/2015/08/21/brazil-backs-long-term-zero-carbon-goal-as-merkel-visits/. In August 2015, during a visit by chancellor Angela Merkel to Brazil, president Dilma Rousseff supported decarbonization of the global economy by 2100, thus backing the G7’s long-term goal to phase out fossil fuels.
- 25.
China’s report to the UNFCCC.
- 26.
Naomi Klein: “Capitalism vs. the Climate—Denialists are dead wrong about the science. But they understand something the left still doesn’t get about the revolutionary meaning of climate change”, in: The Nation, 28 November 2011; at: http://www.thenation.com/article/164497/capitalism-vs-climate (25 January 2014).
- 27.
See: “China makes carbon pledge ahead of Paris climate change summit”, in: The Guardian, 30 June 2015; at: http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jun/30/china-carbon-emissions-2030-premier-li-keqiang-un-paris-climate-change-summit.
- 28.
See China’s report to the UNFCCC; at: http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/INDC/Published%20Documents/China/1/China’s%20INDC%20-%20on%2030%20June%202015.pdf.
- 29.
See publications on: “Green growth and sustainable development”, at: http://www.oecd.org/greengrowth/.
- 30.
See “G7 Leaders’ Declaration, Schloss Elmau, Germany, June 8, 2015”; at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/06/08/g-7-leaders-declaration (14 August 2015).
- 31.
This quote is based on a report in the New York Times of 8 March 1992.
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Brauch, H.G. (2016). Building Sustainable Peace by Moving Towards Sustainability Transition. In: Brauch, H., Oswald Spring, Ú., Bennett, J., Serrano Oswald, S. (eds) Addressing Global Environmental Challenges from a Peace Ecology Perspective. The Anthropocene: Politik—Economics—Society—Science, vol 4. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-30990-3_7
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